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Friday, July 31, 2026

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Market Commentary

Oil giants report blowout profits on war, warn high gas prices could persist

US petroleum giants ExxonMobil and Chevron have reported significant profits, largely driven by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which has created volatility in oil markets. This surge in profitability underscores the resilience of these companies amid geopolitical tensions, but it also highlights the potential for sustained high gasoline prices that could burden consumers. Chevron's acknowledgment of reduced output from the Partitioned Zone between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait adds another layer of complexity to the supply dynamics, indicating that geopolitical factors are not only influencing prices but also production levels. As these companies navigate the challenges posed by the war, investors should be aware that the combination of high demand and constrained supply could keep prices elevated in the near term. The situation suggests that while profits may be robust for oil majors, consumers may face ongoing pressure at the pump. This scenario could lead to increased scrutiny on energy policies and potential calls for regulatory interventions. Additionally, the market's reaction to these developments will be crucial, as sustained high prices could impact overall demand and economic growth. With inflationary pressures already affecting consumer behavior, the energy sector remains a critical area to watch. Overall, the interplay between geopolitical events, production challenges, and consumer sentiment will be pivotal in shaping the trajectory of oil prices in the coming months.

Market CommentaryJuly 31, 2026

EnerCom Announces SM Energy as a Keynote Speaker at the 31st EnerCom Denver - The Energy Investment Conference, on August 19, 2026, in Denver, Colorado

EnerCom, Inc. ("EnerCom") is pleased to announce that Beth McDonald, President & CEO of industry leader SM Energy, has been confirmed as a keynote speaker at the 31st annual EnerCom Denver – The Energy Investment Conference, on August 19, 2026, at the Westin Denver Downtown.

Company NewsJuly 31, 2026

Eversource Energy Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

(NYSE: ES) Eversource Energy reported GAAP earnings of $53.7 million, or $0.14 per share, for the second quarter of 2026, compared with $352.7 million, or $0.96 per share, for the second quarter of 2025. Non-GAAP recurring earnings totaled $329.1 million, or $0.87 per share, in the second quarter of 2026. For the first half of 2026, Eversource reported GAAP earnings of $660.5 million, or $1.75 per share, compared with $903.5 million, or $2.45 per share, for the first half of 2025. GAAP results for 2026 include a non-cash, after-tax charge of $111.4 million related to the sale of Aquarion Water Company and a $164.0 million charge related to an increase in offshore wind contingent liability for expected future payments to Global Infrastructure Partners. The company reaffirmed its revised 2026 non-GAAP recurring earnings guidance of between $4.57 per share and $4.72 per share, and its cumulative long-term earnings per share growth rate within the range of 5 to 7 percent through 2030, using the adjusted 2026 non-GAAP earnings guidance midpoint of $4.65 per share as the base year. Eversource expects annual earnings growth towards the upper half of its long-term guidance by 2028. Eversource Energy serves more than 4 million electric and natural gas customers in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire and has approximately 377 million common shares outstanding.

Company NewsJuly 31, 2026

Ameren Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results

(NYSE: AEE) Ameren Corporation announced second quarter 2026 net income attributable to common shareholders of $314 million, or $1.13 per diluted share, compared to $275 million, or $1.01 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2025. The company reaffirmed its 2026 earnings guidance range of $5.25 to $5.45 per diluted share. For the six months ended June 30, 2026, Ameren recorded net income attributable to common shareholders of $671 million, or $2.41 per diluted share, compared to $564 million, or $2.08 per diluted share, for the same period in 2025. Ameren Missouri reported second quarter 2026 earnings of $157 million, Ameren Transmission $96 million, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution $70 million, and Ameren Illinois Natural Gas $9 million, while Ameren Parent had a loss of $18 million. The company attributed year-over-year earnings increases to infrastructure investments and investments in innovative energy technology, partially offset by higher operations and maintenance expenses, lower electric retail sales, and higher interest expense. Ameren powers 2.5 million electric customers and more than 900,000 natural gas customers in a 64,000-square-mile area through its Ameren Missouri and Ameren Illinois subsidiaries.

Company NewsJuly 31, 2026

Baytex Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results; Production Guidance Raised on Strong Duvernay and Peavine Performance; Board Appointments Announced

(TSX:BTE) (NYSE:BTE) Baytex Energy Corp. reported operating and financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, delivering production of 71,243 boe/d (88% oil and NGL), which surpassed the high end of annual guidance and represented 11% growth relative to the second quarter of 2025. Full-year production guidance was raised to approximately 71,000 boe/d, a 1,000 boe/d increase from the mid-point of prior guidance, with exploration and development expenditures unchanged at approximately $625 million. The company generated adjusted funds flow of $254 million ($0.35 per basic share), cash flows from operating activities of $231 million ($0.32 per basic share), and reported net income from continuing operations of $169 million ($0.23 per basic share). Free cash flow was $128 million ($0.18 per basic share) after exploration and development expenditures of $122 million. Baytex repurchased 22 million common shares for $136 million, representing 3.0% of shares outstanding, and exited the second quarter with net cash of $566 million. The company projects annual production growth of 8% in 2026 and a target exit rate of approximately 72,000 boe/d in Q4.

Company NewsJuly 31, 2026

New Zealand Energy Corp. Announces Reinstatement to Trading

(TSXV: NZ) New Zealand Energy Corp. announced that trading in the Company's common shares will be reinstated on the TSX Venture Exchange shortly. The Company disclosed that its board of directors currently consists of Robert Bose, Bill Treuren, Toby Pierce (CEO), and Michael Adams, with only Bill Treuren identified as an independent director. Following the resignation of Mr. Frank Jacobs as a director on May 14, 2026, the Company does not currently satisfy the TSXV requirement to maintain at least two independent directors and has been placed on a 90-day notice to restore compliance. The Company paid Auctus Advisors LLP £150,000 (C$272,750 equivalent) under the 2024 Engagement and C$175,000 under the 2026 Engagement for corporate finance advisory services. The Company holds a 50% ownership stake in the Waihapa production station and is focused on oil, gas, and gas-storage opportunities in New Zealand, including the Tariki Gas Storage Project in Taranaki. The company projects the appointment of a new independent director by way of a further news release once finalized and aims to satisfy the two-independent-director requirement within the 90-day notice period.

Company NewsJuly 31, 2026

Parex Resources Announces Q2 2026 Results, Highlights Strong July Production, Reaffirms Step-Change Guidance, and Declares Q3 2026 Dividend

(TSX: PXT) Parex Resources Inc. announced its financial and operational results for the three-month period ended June 30, 2026, including the successful closing of the Frontera E&P transaction and the declaration of its Q3 2026 regular dividend of C$0.385 per share. The company reported Q2 2026 average production of 54,121 boe/d, net income of $444 million or $4.62 per share basic, and generated adjusted funds flow provided by operations of $191 million. Capital expenditures for Q2 2026 were $134 million, and the company repaid $175 million of bank debt, ending the quarter with $459 million of liquidity. Pro forma reserves increased by 82% (PDP), 83% (1P), and 71% (2P) over the year-end 2025 reserves report, with total 1P reserves at 206,570 Mboe. For FY 2026, Parex expects average production of 63,000 to 67,000 boe/d and capital expenditures of $495 to $515 million. The company reaffirmed H2 2026 average production guidance of 82,000 to 91,000 boe/d and expects to earn 50% production participation on roughly 15,000 bbl/d in H2 2026 from the Casabe & Llanito blocks. Management projects continued operational momentum and growth, supported by recent acquisitions and exploration success.

Market CommentaryJuly 31, 2026

ADNOC Makes One of the Biggest Changes to Middle East Crude Pricing in Years

ADNOC's shift to a prompt-month pricing methodology based on the Platts Dubai benchmark represents a pivotal moment for Middle Eastern crude pricing, likely exerting significant influence on global oil markets. This transition, effective from November 1, 2026, aligns ADNOC's pricing strategy more closely with real-time market dynamics, enhancing its competitiveness against other crude suppliers who have already adopted similar methodologies. By moving away from the two-month advance pricing using ICE Futures Abu Dhabi, ADNOC is responding to a market that increasingly favors immediacy and transparency, which could lead to tighter spreads and greater volatility in crude prices. This change is particularly significant as it may encourage other OPEC members to reassess their pricing strategies, potentially leading to a broader shift in how Middle Eastern crude is valued globally. In an environment where demand is fluctuating due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, the ability to price oil more responsively could provide ADNOC with a strategic advantage, allowing it to capture higher premiums during periods of heightened demand. Furthermore, this move could influence the pricing of other regional crudes, as buyers will likely compare ADNOC's new pricing structure with that of its competitors. As the market digests these changes, we could see a recalibration of expectations regarding supply and demand dynamics, particularly in Asia, where ADNOC's crude is heavily marketed. Overall, this evolution in pricing methodology not only reflects ADNOC's ambition to enhance its market position but also signals a potential shift in the broader oil pricing landscape, which could have lasting implications for energy investors navigating an increasingly complex market environment.

Market CommentaryJuly 31, 2026

Trump Pushes Iran Into Russia Sanctions Bill Targeting Trade Partners, But Will the Tariffs Stick?

The push to include Iran in a sanctions bill targeting trade partners with Russia signals a potential escalation in geopolitical tensions that could significantly impact oil prices. If implemented, these sanctions could disrupt Iran's already fragile oil exports, tightening global supply and potentially driving prices higher, especially if OPEC+ continues to manage its production levels conservatively. The uncertainty surrounding the effectiveness of these tariffs adds another layer of complexity; if they are perceived as ineffective or easily circumvented, the anticipated market response may be muted. However, should the sanctions lead to a genuine reduction in Iranian oil on the market, we could see a bullish reaction, particularly in a landscape where demand is recovering post-pandemic and supply chain disruptions remain a concern. Furthermore, this maneuver could strain relations between the U.S. and its allies who may be reliant on Iranian oil, complicating the broader energy landscape and potentially leading to retaliatory measures. The interplay between U.S. foreign policy and oil market dynamics is increasingly critical, as any significant shift in supply from Iran could reverberate through global markets, particularly in Europe and Asia, where alternative sources are limited. Investors should closely monitor the developments surrounding these sanctions, as the potential for increased volatility in oil prices looms large. In essence, while the sanctions may aim to exert pressure on Iran and Russia, the ultimate impact on oil markets will hinge on their implementation and the broader geopolitical response. The intricate balance of supply and demand in the oil market means that any disruption, real or perceived, can lead to significant price fluctuations, making this a critical moment for energy investors.

Market CommentaryJuly 31, 2026

Pemex Swings to $1 Billion Profit Buoyed by High Oil Prices

Pemex's emergence into profitability with a $1 billion gain underscores the significant impact of elevated oil prices on national oil companies, particularly those grappling with operational inefficiencies and heavy debt burdens. This financial turnaround not only reflects the broader strength of crude markets but also highlights the potential for increased investment in Mexico's oil sector, which has long been hindered by regulatory challenges and declining production rates. As Pemex seeks to attract private partners, the improved financial health could serve as a catalyst for revitalizing exploration and production activities, essential for reversing years of output declines. The implications for oil prices are multifaceted; a more robust Pemex could stabilize supply in the region, potentially alleviating some upward pressure on prices if production increases. However, the company’s ongoing struggle with debt remains a critical concern, as any missteps in managing this newfound profitability could jeopardize future investments and operational stability. Furthermore, the success of Pemex may encourage other state-owned enterprises in Latin America to pursue similar strategies, potentially reshaping regional oil dynamics. As global demand for oil remains resilient, particularly in emerging markets, the interplay between Pemex's recovery and broader market trends will be crucial in determining future price trajectories. Investors should closely monitor how Pemex leverages this profit to navigate its challenges, as this will be indicative of the company's long-term viability and its role in the global oil supply chain. Ultimately, Pemex's profitability is a positive signal for energy markets, but it must be coupled with strategic reforms to ensure sustainable growth and stability in an increasingly competitive landscape.

Market CommentaryJuly 31, 2026

U.S. Oil Output, Exports Run Strong as the SPR Hits a 43-Year Low

The current surge in U.S. oil output and exports, coupled with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) hitting a 43-year low, signals a pivotal moment for global energy markets and oil prices. The record production levels indicate that the U.S. has successfully ramped up its shale output, leveraging technological advancements and favorable drilling conditions, which could further solidify its position as a leading oil exporter. This unprecedented export activity not only reflects domestic supply strength but also highlights the U.S.'s strategic pivot to global markets, particularly in the context of geopolitical tensions such as the conflict with Iran. As U.S. crude floods international markets, it exerts downward pressure on global oil prices, potentially undermining OPEC's pricing power and complicating their production strategies. The low SPR levels raise concerns about the U.S. government's ability to respond to supply disruptions, which could lead to increased volatility in oil prices should geopolitical tensions escalate. Additionally, the strong export figures suggest that U.S. crude is becoming increasingly competitive against OPEC and Russian supplies, which may force these producers to reconsider their pricing strategies. The interplay between robust U.S. production and the dwindling SPR could also impact refining margins, as domestic refiners may benefit from cheaper feedstock while facing challenges in export logistics. Overall, the dynamics of U.S. oil output and exports are reshaping the landscape of global energy markets, with implications for pricing, supply stability, and geopolitical strategy that investors must closely monitor.

Market CommentaryJuly 31, 2026

Delaying Rate Hike Risks Adopting Aggressive Tightening Cycle, Fed Dissenters Caution

Delaying a rate hike by the Federal Reserve could have significant implications for oil prices and the broader energy market, as it may lead to a more aggressive tightening cycle in the future. A prolonged period of low interest rates tends to support economic growth, which in turn fuels demand for oil and energy products. However, if inflationary pressures continue to build, the Fed may be forced to implement rapid rate increases, creating volatility in financial markets and potentially dampening economic activity. This scenario could lead to a sharp decline in oil demand, particularly if higher borrowing costs stifle consumer spending and business investment. Additionally, the uncertainty surrounding monetary policy can create fluctuations in the U.S. dollar, which inversely affects oil prices since crude is dollar-denominated. If the dollar strengthens due to aggressive tightening, oil prices could face downward pressure, complicating the already delicate balance of supply and demand. Furthermore, OPEC+ dynamics could be impacted, as member countries may adjust their production strategies in response to shifting demand forecasts driven by U.S. monetary policy. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in oil-rich regions, could also exacerbate price volatility if market participants react to Fed decisions with heightened risk aversion. In this environment, energy investors must remain vigilant, as the interplay between interest rates, inflation, and oil demand will be critical in shaping market trajectories in the coming months. Overall, the Fed's approach to interest rates will play a pivotal role in determining the stability and direction of oil prices, making it essential for investors to closely monitor these developments.

Market CommentaryJuly 31, 2026

Oil Rises as Iran Says Ships Stopped in Strait of Hormuz

The recent rise in oil prices underscores the market's sensitivity to geopolitical tensions, particularly in the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20 percent of the world's oil supply transits. Iran's announcement of stopping two vessels and claiming that four tankers turned back, while not independently verified, signals a potential escalation in regional hostilities that could threaten shipping routes and, consequently, global oil supply chains. Such actions by Iran could lead to heightened fears of supply disruptions, prompting traders to react swiftly, driving prices upward as they price in the risk of further confrontations. The Strait's significance cannot be overstated; any sustained disruption could lead to a tightening of supply, exacerbating existing concerns over global oil inventories that are already under pressure from OPEC+ production cuts and recovering demand post-pandemic. Furthermore, this incident may compel other nations to reassess their naval presence in the region, potentially leading to increased military tensions and a more volatile trading environment. As the market grapples with these developments, investors should remain vigilant about the broader implications for oil prices, particularly if Iran continues to assert its influence in the region. The interplay between geopolitical risk and supply-demand fundamentals will be crucial in shaping market sentiment, and any further incidents could catalyze a more pronounced rally in oil prices. In this context, the dynamics of OPEC+ production strategies and the ongoing recovery in global demand will be tested against the backdrop of these geopolitical uncertainties, making it imperative for investors to closely monitor developments in the Strait of Hormuz and their potential ramifications for energy markets.

Market CommentaryJuly 31, 2026

Exxon and Chevron’s $26.5 Billion Quarter Draws Trump’s Ire

Exxon and Chevron’s staggering $26.5 billion in combined profits for the second quarter underscores the profound impact of geopolitical turmoil on oil prices and the broader energy market. Their ability to ramp up production and refine more fuel amid escalating tensions, particularly following the Iran conflict, has positioned them to capitalize on soaring crude prices, which have surged due to supply disruptions and heightened demand. This remarkable financial performance not only highlights the resilience of these oil giants but also raises critical questions about market dynamics and pricing strategies, especially as Washington probes the reasons behind elevated gasoline costs. The record profits reported by Chevron and Exxon, with Chevron's net income nearly quintupled year-on-year, reflect a market environment where supply constraints and geopolitical risks are driving prices higher, ultimately benefiting producers at the expense of consumers. As these companies thrive, the prospect of increased regulatory scrutiny looms, particularly from political figures like Trump, who may leverage public discontent over high fuel prices to push for policy changes. This tension between corporate profitability and consumer affordability could lead to a volatile political landscape that might influence future oil production decisions and investment strategies. Furthermore, the prospect of sustained high prices could incentivize OPEC to adjust its output strategies, potentially leading to further price fluctuations. In the short term, investors should brace for continued volatility as geopolitical factors remain a dominant force in shaping oil supply and demand dynamics. Overall, the financial success of Exxon and Chevron amidst such turmoil signals a critical juncture for the energy sector, where the interplay of market forces and political pressures will dictate the trajectory of oil prices in the coming months.

Company NewsJuly 31, 2026

Occidental Names Brad Pollack Senior Vice President and General Counsel

(NYSE: OXY) Occidental announced that Brad Pollack has been appointed Senior Vice President and General Counsel, effective August 1, 2026, succeeding Sylvia Kerrigan as part of a planned transition. Kerrigan will remain Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer through the end of 2026 and serve as a senior strategic adviser through 2027. Pollack joined Occidental in 2014 and most recently served as Vice President and Deputy General Counsel, overseeing legal support for the company’s U.S. and international operations and commercial development. Kerrigan has served as Occidental’s Chief Legal Officer since 2022, overseeing the company’s global legal and regulatory functions. Under Kerrigan's leadership, her team played a key role in Occidental’s strategic repositioning, including the acquisition of CrownRock and the divestiture of OxyChem. Occidental is an international energy company that produces, markets and transports oil and natural gas. The company is headquartered in Houston and primarily operates in the United States, the Middle East and North Africa.

Company NewsJuly 31, 2026

Europa Oil Gas Holdings — Holding(s) in Company

(LSE:EOG) Premier Miton Group plc acquired or disposed of voting rights in Europa Oil & Gas (Holdings) PLC, resulting in a total of 64,733,000 voting rights held in the issuer as of 29-Jul-2026. The percentage of voting rights attached to shares was 4.918401% on the date the threshold was crossed or reached. The previous notification showed a position of 6.331625%. The notification was completed on 30-Jul-2026 and the place of completion was Guildford, UK. The issuer is identified as EUROPA OIL & GAS (HOLDINGS) PLC with ISIN GB00B03CJS30. Premier Miton Group plc is listed as the ultimate controlling person with several controlled undertakings. No financial instruments with voting rights were reported in sections 8B1 or 8B2.

Company NewsJuly 31, 2026

Enbridge Reports Strong Second Quarter Results, Reaffirms 2026 Guidance and Grows Secured Backlog to $41B

(TSX:ENB) (NYSE:ENB) Enbridge Inc. reported second quarter 2026 GAAP earnings attributable to common shareholders of $1.4 billion or $0.64 per common share, compared with $2.2 billion or $1.00 per common share in 2025. Adjusted earnings* for the quarter were $1.4 billion or $0.63 per common share*, compared with $1.4 billion or $0.65 per common share in 2025, and adjusted EBITDA* was $4.8 billion, up from $4.6 billion in 2025. Cash provided by operating activities was $4.1 billion, compared with $3.2 billion in 2025, and distributable cash flow (DCF)* was $2.9 billion, in-line with 2025 results. Enbridge sanctioned and began construction of the US$1.0 billion Line 5 Relocation project in Wisconsin and added $1 billion to its now $41 billion growth project backlog. Year-to-date, the company has sanctioned $9 billion of new projects and reaffirmed its 2026 full year financial guidance for adjusted EBITDA between $20.2 billion and $20.8 billion and DCF per share between $5.70 and $6.10. The company projects to be well on track to meet its targeted $10-20 billion of new project announcements over the 2026 to 2027 timeframe and expects the Line 5 Relocation project to enter service in early 2027.

Company NewsJuly 30, 2026

Baytex Announces Quarterly Dividend for October 2026

(TSX:BTE, NYSE:BTE) Baytex Energy Corp. announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of CDN$0.0225 per share to be paid on October 1, 2026 to shareholders of record on September 15, 2026. The U.S. dollar equivalent amount is approximately US$0.0161 per share assuming a foreign exchange rate of 1.40 CAD/US. Payments to shareholders who are not residents of Canada will be net of any Canadian withholding taxes that may be applicable. This dividend is designated an "eligible dividend" for Canadian tax purposes and is considered a "qualified dividend" for U.S. income tax purposes. Baytex Energy Corp. operates in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, featuring the Duvernay and heavy oil plays in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Baytex's common shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol BTE. The company is a Calgary-based energy company committed to driving shareholder value through disciplined execution.

Company NewsJuly 30, 2026

Aecon reports second quarter 2026 results

(TSX: ARE) Aecon Group Inc. reported revenue for the three months ended June 30, 2026 of $1,631 million, which was $329 million, or 25%, higher compared to the same period in 2025. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $82.4 million, doubling from $41.1 million in the prior year, with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.1%. Operating profit for the quarter was $36.4 million, an increase of $34.1 million from $2.3 million in Q2 2025. The company reported a backlog at June 30, 2026 of $10,492 million, compared to $10,746 million at June 30, 2025. On June 25, 2026, Aecon announced an agreement to purchase the convertible preferred equity investment held by Oaktree Capital Management in Aecon Utilities Group Inc. for $320 million, based on Oaktree’s as-converted 27.5% ownership interest, representing an equity value of $1.2 billion and an enterprise value of $1.5 billion for Aecon Utilities. Aecon’s $1.7 billion majority share of the Greenlight Electricity Centre project in Alberta was added to its Construction segment backlog in the third quarter of 2026. The company projects construction on the Mactaquac Life Achievement Project to commence in the second quarter of 2027 under a target price model.