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Friday, October 30, 2026

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Market Commentary

BP net profit quadruples on higher oil prices

BP's net profit has quadrupled in the third quarter, driven by surging oil prices amid ongoing disruptions in the Middle East. The conflict in the region has significantly impacted oil and gas supplies, creating a tighter market that has pushed prices higher. This situation presents a dual-edged sword; while BP and other companies with stable operations can capitalize on elevated prices, the overall volatility in the market raises concerns about long-term supply stability. The disruptions in production and exports of refined products in the Middle East mean that refineries unaffected by the conflict are likely to see increased margins due to reduced competition for crude. Investors should note that this scenario could lead to a further tightening of global supplies, potentially sustaining higher prices in the near term. Additionally, the geopolitical landscape remains precarious, which could lead to further fluctuations in oil prices as tensions evolve. The current environment underscores the importance of monitoring refinery capacity and production levels, as these factors will play a crucial role in determining price trajectories. With BP's strong financial performance reflecting the current market dynamics, other energy companies may also report similar gains, reinforcing the bullish sentiment in the sector. Overall, the interplay between geopolitical events and supply chain disruptions will continue to shape the oil market, making it essential for investors to stay vigilant.

Market Commentary

Houthis Claim Fresh Strikes on Saudi Oil Refineries and Aramco Facilities

Crude prices are likely to experience upward pressure following the Houthis' claims of fresh strikes on key Saudi oil infrastructure, including the Ras Tanura and Rabigh refineries, as well as the Aramco facility at Abqaiq. These attacks, if confirmed, could raise concerns about the security of Saudi oil supplies, which are critical to global markets. The potential disruption to production and exports from these facilities could lead to tighter supply conditions, especially as the market is already grappling with OPEC's recent output cuts. Investors should be wary of the geopolitical risks that could escalate tensions in the region, further impacting oil prices. Additionally, the Houthis' targeting of airports alongside oil facilities indicates a broader strategy that could heighten fears of instability in Saudi Arabia. While the Saudi government has yet to confirm the attacks or assess their impact, the mere threat of disruption can lead to speculative trading and volatility in oil markets. The market's reaction will also depend on how OPEC and its allies respond to any potential supply shocks. If these attacks lead to actual production outages, we could see a significant spike in prices as inventories tighten. Furthermore, the current economic climate, characterized by inflation and fluctuating demand signals, adds another layer of complexity to the situation. Overall, the claims of these strikes underscore the fragile nature of oil supply chains and the ongoing geopolitical risks that continue to shape energy markets.

Market Commentary

MARKETS LIVE: FTSE 100 set to rise despite Wall Street sell-off and Asian technology rout

Brent crude has risen above $116, indicating a bullish sentiment in the oil market despite broader market declines in Wall Street and a retreat in Asian technology shares. This uptick in crude prices suggests that investors are still finding value in oil, potentially driven by ongoing supply concerns or geopolitical tensions that may be influencing market dynamics. The FTSE 100 is expected to open 0.4% higher, reflecting a positive outlook for UK equities, which could be buoyed by the rising oil prices. A stronger FTSE 100 could attract more investment into energy stocks, further supporting crude prices. The resilience of oil amidst a sell-off in other sectors highlights the commodity's critical role as a hedge against market volatility. Investors should monitor how these trends in oil prices interact with global economic indicators, particularly inflation and currency fluctuations. A sustained rise in Brent could lead to increased production from OPEC members, as higher prices often incentivize greater output. Additionally, any disruptions in supply chains or refinery capacity could further tighten the market, pushing prices even higher. As the energy sector remains sensitive to geopolitical developments, any escalation in tensions could exacerbate price movements. Overall, the current environment suggests that oil prices may continue to experience upward pressure, making it essential for investors to stay attuned to both market signals and external factors influencing energy markets.

Market Commentary

Oil Prices Head for Fourth Monthly Gain as Middle East Tensions Escalate

Crude oil prices are poised for a fourth consecutive monthly gain, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and recent Houthi attacks on Saudi infrastructure. Brent crude is currently trading at $116.56 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate stands at $103.35 per barrel. These price levels reflect heightened market anxiety surrounding potential military actions, particularly as President Trump has indicated that the U.S. may consider resuming strikes against Iran following the upcoming midterm elections. The coordination between the U.S. and Israel adds another layer of complexity to the geopolitical landscape, further supporting bullish sentiment in the oil market. Investors should be aware that such geopolitical risks typically lead to increased volatility and upward pressure on prices, as supply disruptions become a real concern. Additionally, the ongoing uncertainty may deter investment in production expansion, which could exacerbate supply constraints in the future. As the market digests these developments, the potential for further price increases remains significant, particularly if tensions escalate further. The combination of geopolitical instability and the looming U.S. elections creates a precarious environment for oil prices, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Overall, the current dynamics suggest that oil prices could remain elevated in the near term, as traders navigate the implications of both regional conflicts and domestic political developments.

Market Commentary

3 Canadian Energy Stocks With Net Margins Over 12%

Oil prices are poised for a fourth consecutive monthly gain, driven by ongoing tensions around the Strait of Hormuz that heighten supply risks. This geopolitical instability underscores the critical role of Canadian oil and gas producers, who are increasingly seen as pivotal players in the global energy landscape. With net margins exceeding 12%, these Canadian companies are well-positioned to capitalize on the current market dynamics, offering investors a compelling opportunity for targeted exposure. The focus on energy security amid global uncertainties is likely to bolster demand for Canadian oil, further supporting price stability. As investors assess their portfolios, the strong financial performance of these stocks highlights the potential for robust returns in a volatile market. Additionally, the interplay between geopolitical factors and supply chain vulnerabilities continues to shape investor sentiment, making Canadian energy stocks particularly attractive. The resilience of these companies in the face of fluctuating oil prices could lead to increased interest from both domestic and international investors. As the market reacts to ongoing developments, the performance of these stocks may serve as a bellwether for broader trends in the energy sector. Overall, the combination of strong margins and geopolitical risk positions Canadian energy stocks as a strategic choice for those looking to navigate the complexities of the current oil market.

Market Commentary

Gold falls below $4,000 as inflation concerns keep bullion under pressure

Gold's decline below $4,000 reflects heightened inflation concerns, which are being exacerbated by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The recent resurgence of conflict has not only pressured gold but has also kept energy prices elevated, indicating a complex interplay between commodities. As oil prices rise, driven by the potential for renewed U.S. military action against Iran following the midterm elections, investors are likely to reassess their positions across the energy spectrum. Elevated energy costs can contribute to broader inflationary pressures, which in turn may influence central bank policies and interest rates. This environment creates a challenging backdrop for gold, traditionally viewed as a safe haven during inflationary periods. However, the correlation between rising oil prices and inflation could lead to increased demand for gold as a hedge, despite its current downturn. Investors should remain vigilant as the situation develops, particularly with the potential for further military escalation impacting both oil and gold markets. The interplay of these factors suggests that while gold may struggle in the short term, the underlying inflation narrative could support a rebound if energy prices remain high. Overall, the dynamics of geopolitical risk and inflation will continue to shape investor sentiment in both the oil and gold markets.

Company NewsOctober 30, 2026

Nigeria: TotalEnergies Strengthens Its Partnership with SAPETRO to Support the Fast Development of OPL257

(LSE:TTE) (NYSE:TTE) TotalEnergies has signed a Farm-Out Agreement to sell a 40% participating interest in offshore block OPL257, Nigeria, to South Atlantic Petroleum Limited (SAPETRO). Upon completion of the transaction, TotalEnergies will retain a 50% operated interest in OPL257, with SAPETRO holding 40% and Conoil holding 10%. OPL257 is located 150 kilometers offshore Nigeria. The block is adjacent to PPL261, where TotalEnergies (24%) and its partners, including SAPETRO, discovered the Egina South field in 2005, which straddles both blocks. An appraisal campaign on the OPL257 side of the Egina South field will be undertaken in the coming months to support the potential development of Egina South as a tie-back to the Egina FPSO, which is located approximately 30 kilometers away. Mike Sangster, SVP Africa Exploration & Production at TotalEnergies, stated that consolidating the partnership with SAPETRO paves the way for a quick appraisal campaign and subsequent development of Egina South in the success case. He also noted that the transaction aligns with TotalEnergies' strategy to develop low-cost, low-emission resources while leveraging existing facilities. Completion of the transaction is subject to customary conditions, including regulatory approvals. TotalEnergies has been present in Nigeria for more than 60 years and currently employs more than 1,800 people across different business segments. Nigeria is one of the main contributing countries to TotalEnergies’ hydrocarbon production, with 188,000 boe/d produced in 2025. TotalEnergies operates an extensive distribution network in Nigeria, including about 540 service stations.

Company NewsOctober 30, 2026

Mazarine Energy agrees to buy Romania’s BSOG from Carlyle and EBRD

Mazarine Energy to acquire Black Sea Oil & Gas (BSOG) from Carlyle and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD).

Company NewsOctober 30, 2026

EQT (EQT) Deal Sparks Fresh Marcellus And Utica Takeover Talk

EQT (NYSE:EQT) has ignited fresh M&A talk in the Marcellus/Utica gas basin after agreeing to acquire Range Resources. Analysts are now flagging Antero Resources, CNX Resources, and Seneca Resources as potential next deal targets in the region. Commentary around EQT's move frames the Range Resources transaction as a possible opening step toward wider basin consolidation. EQT's purchase of Range Resources is one headline, yet the wider Marcellus and Utica consolidation story runs deeper. Check...

Company NewsOctober 30, 2026

Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Sees Fair Value Lift After Mixed Analyst Target Changes

Valero Energy is back in focus after a fresh round of price target moves, with a consolidated fair value estimate now at US$426.42, up from US$401.53. Recent Street research shows a mix of optimism and caution, as rising targets sit alongside downgrades that question how much of the strong refining backdrop is already reflected in the stock. As you read on, you will see how to track these shifting views and what to watch as the narrative around Valero Energy evolves. Stay updated as the Fair...

Company NewsOctober 30, 2026

Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Could Be Undervalued On Current Earnings

Valero Energy has delivered a striking run for shareholders over the past few years, which naturally puts a spotlight on what investors are paying for its earnings today. With that kind of share price history in the rearview mirror, the live question is whether the current valuation still lines up with the profit engine of the business. Over 5 years the stock has returned 488.0%, which raises the issue of how much of Valero Energy's earnings power may already be reflected in the price. The...

Company NewsOctober 30, 2026

Expand Energy: Hedges And Marketing Income Help Partially Offset Weak Natural Gas Prices

Company NewsOctober 30, 2026

Patterson-UTI expects Q4 drilling services adjusted gross profit of about $150M while keeping 2026 capex below $600M

Company NewsOctober 30, 2026

NextDecade expects first LNG from Train 1 in Q2 2027 and targets Train 6 FID in second half of next year

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

What’s Next for Global Natural Gas Demand?

The Iran war and the lack of LNG supply from the Middle East have upended forecasts of near-term natural gas demand and import costs. So far this year, economies in Europe and Asia have relied more on renewables and coal for power generation to offset reduced gas supplies procured at very high prices. This year’s crisis has prompted governments to rethink energy policies with energy security the top priority, again, after the 2022-2023 energy crisis. After the decline in global gas demand this year, due to prices at four-year highs, the obvious…

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

TotalEnergies (ENXTPA:TTE) Moves Cronos Ahead And Adds New U.S. Offshore Acreage

TotalEnergies (ENXTPA:TTE) moved the Cronos gas project in Cyprus into the execution phase, targeting new supply for European buyers. The group also expanded its U.S. offshore exploration activity through a fresh partnership with Chevron focused on key Gulf acreage. Management framed both steps as part of a broader upstream expansion drive alongside its existing liquefied natural gas portfolio. The Cronos progression and new Chevron offshore deal fit into a wider picture our research has...

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

Shell and TotalEnergies report strongest profits since 2022 as refining margins surge

(Oil Gas 360) Shell and TotalEnergies reported their highest quarterly profits since 2022 on October 29, benefiting from elevated [ ]

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

Baytex Conference Call and Webcast on Third Quarter 2026 Results to Be Held on November 6, 2026

(TSX:BTE, NYSE:BTE) Baytex Energy Corp. will release its third quarter 2026 financial and operating results after the close of markets on Thursday November 5, 2026. The company will hold a conference call and webcast to discuss the results on Friday November 6, 2026 at 10:00 a.m. AT (11:00 a.m. ET). Registration for the call is available on the Baytex website. Participants can dial 1-647-846-2449 for international access or 1-833-821-2925 for North America toll-free. The webcast link is https://event.choruscall.com/mediaframe/webcast.html?webcastid=jGHCxsPD. An archived recording of the conference call will be available shortly after the event via the webcast link and on the Baytex website. Baytex Energy Corp. is a Calgary-based energy company operating in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. The company’s core assets include the Duvernay and heavy oil plays in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Baytex’s portfolio is described as high-quality and high-return, supported by an extensive drilling inventory. The company states that these assets consistently generate strong cash flow. Baytex’s common shares are traded on the New York Stock Exchange and the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol BTE.

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

Cheniere (LNG) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Record production and raised guidance highlight strong LNG demand.

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

Record gas production reshapes outlook for U.S. producers and pipelines

(Oil Gas 360) U.S. natural gas production is on track to reach consecutive annual records in 2026 and 2027 [ ]

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

Sinopec s quarterly profit rises 64% as higher oil prices boost margins

(Oil Gas 360) China Petroleum Chemical Corporation, commonly known as Sinopec, reported a 63.6% increase in third-quarter [ ]

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

Mexico’s Richest Man Sells $1.15 Billion in Oil Stocks

Carlos Slim has sold more than $1.15 billion of U.S. oil stocks this year as the Iran war sends crude prices and energy shares higher. The Mexican billionaire has cut his stakes in PBF Energy and Talos Energy roughly in half, yet the shares he still owns are worth about $1.4 billion—roughly what his holdings were worth in January. Much of his estimated $124 billion fortune is tied to telecommunications giant América Móvil. Slim, the richest man in Mexico, collected around $820 million selling PBF shares over more than 100 trading…

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

Europe to Release 42 Million Barrels of Oil

Europe will release 42 million barrels of emergency oil stocks over the next three months, half of it diesel, as governments try to bring down fuel prices before winter, French Economy Minister Roland Lescure said Thursday. France s share includes 10 million barrels of diesel, which Lescure said will begin reaching the market in the coming days. The fuel will be supplied at cost, with Lescure forecasting a reduction of 12 to 18 cents per liter. He expects prices to respond as early as next week. The broader European release averages roughly 460,000…

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

Suspension of trading on AIM

(AIM:TRAF) Trafalgar Minerals PLC has announced that it will not acquire another company or business by way of a reverse takeover on or before 6 November 2026, which is six months from the date of the disposal of its business assets. As a result, trading in the company’s ordinary shares on AIM will be suspended pursuant to AIM Rule 40 with effect from 7.30 a.m. on 9 November 2026. If the company’s shares remain suspended for a further six months, admission of the company’s shares to trading on AIM will be cancelled pursuant to AIM Rule 41. The board states it remains focused on pursuing acquisition opportunities that offer an attractive risk-adjusted proposition and the potential to deliver long-term value for shareholders. Trafalgar Minerals PLC continues to actively assess opportunities with the aim to complete a transaction aligned with its strategic objectives and in the best interest of the company and its shareholders. The company will provide further updates as appropriate. There is no certainty that any transaction will be completed. Martin Hull, Chief Executive Officer, commented that the company remains focused on identifying the right transaction for Trafalgar as it continues to assess opportunities in its pipeline. He stated that the priority is to take a disciplined approach and to pursue a transaction believed to be in the best interests of the company and its shareholders. The company is an AIM Rule 15 cash shell. The announcement was made on 29 October 2026. The company’s nominated adviser and financial adviser is SPARK Advisory Partners Limited. The company’s corporate broker is AlbR Capital Limited. Yellow Jersey PR is listed as a contact for the company.

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

Sinopec Third-Quarter Profit Jumps 64% as Oil Prices Climb

Higher oil prices helped raise Sinopec’s third-quarter earnings by 64% from a year earlier, even as China’s top refiner couldn’t fully capture the record-high global refining margins. China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, as Sinopec is officially known, said on Thursday that its profit attributable to the shareholders of the company surged by 63.6% on the year to $2 billion (13.6 billion Chinese yuan) for the third quarter. Revenues rose by 9.3% to $115 billion (769.7 billion yuan). For the first nine months…

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

MPLX LP announces election of two new directors

(NYSE:MPLX) MPLX LP announced that Micheal G. Dunn and Bruce L. Niemeyer have been elected to the board of directors of MPLX GP LLC, the general partner of MPLX, effective November 1, 2026. Micheal G. Dunn brings over 35 years of experience in the natural gas and midstream industries, having held leadership roles in operations, engineering, construction, project management, and information technology. Dunn most recently served as executive vice president and chief operating officer of The Williams Companies, retiring in 2025, and previously held positions as president of Kern River Gas and PacifiCorp Energy, as well as president and executive vice president of Questar Pipeline/Questar Corporation. Dunn is a GIP-designated director on the Columbia Pipelines Holding Company board and is a past director of Williams Partners LP. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Civil Engineering from the University of Oklahoma. Bruce L. Niemeyer has more than 40 years of experience in the energy industry, with leadership roles in exploration and production. At Chevron, Niemeyer was responsible for the Western Hemisphere upstream business as President, Americas Exploration and Production, and previously served as Corporate Vice President, Strategy and Sustainability. Niemeyer began his career at Atlantic Richfield, holding leadership positions including President of ARCO Environmental Remediation, LLC. He earned a Bachelor of Science in Petroleum Engineering from the Colorado School of Mines. MPLX Chairman, President and CEO Maryann Mannen stated that Dunn and Niemeyer bring an extraordinary breadth of expertise to the board and that their experiences will be invaluable as MPLX executes growth strategies across its value chains. The addition of Niemeyer and Dunn brings the MPLX board to a total of 12 directors. MPLX lead director Christopher Helms welcomed the new directors, noting their insights and strategic acumen will benefit the partnership as it continues to create long-term value for unitholders. MPLX LP is a diversified, large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets and provides fuels distribution services. MPLX's assets include a network of crude oil and refined product pipelines, an inland marine business, light-product terminals, storage caverns, refinery tanks, docks, loading racks, associated piping, and crude and light-product marine terminals. The company also owns crude oil and natural gas gathering systems and pipelines, as well as natural gas and NGL processing and fractionation facilities in key U.S. supply basins.

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

David Constable to join Marathon Petroleum Corporation Board of Directors

(NYSE:MPC) Marathon Petroleum Corp. announced that David E. Constable has been elected to the company's board of directors, effective March 1, 2027. Maryann Mannen, Chairman, President and CEO of Marathon Petroleum Corp., stated that Constable brings over four decades of global leadership experience in the energy, chemicals, engineering, and construction sectors. David E. Constable most recently served as Chairman and CEO of Fluor Corporation. From 2011 to 2016, Constable was CEO of Sasol Ltd., a global chemical and energy company. He also spent three years as a senior advisor to Cerberus Capital Management LP. Constable is currently a member of the board of ABB Ltd. and has previously served on the boards of Anadarko Petroleum and Rio Tinto. John Surma, Lead Director of Marathon Petroleum Corp., commented that Constable's record of value creation and successful management in complex industries will complement the Board. Constable holds a civil engineering degree from the University of Alberta, is a graduate of Thunderbird's International Management Program, and completed Wharton Business School's Advanced Management Program. He is a longstanding member of the U.S. Business Council. With Constable's election, the MPC board will have 11 directors. Marathon Petroleum Corp. operates the nation's largest refining system. The company's marketing system includes branded locations across the United States, including Marathon brand retail outlets. MPC owns the general partner and majority limited partner interest in MPLX LP, which owns and operates gathering, processing, and fractionation assets, as well as crude oil and light product transportation and logistics infrastructure.

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

KBR Reports Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Results

(NYSE:KBR) KBR, Inc. announced its third quarter fiscal 2026 results, reporting revenues of $2,028 million for the quarter, up 5% or $97 million from the prior year period. Operating income for the quarter was $186 million, down 3% or $5 million, while net income attributable to KBR was $133 million, up 16% or $18 million. Diluted earnings per share attributable to KBR were $1.06, an increase of 18% or $0.16. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $268 million, up 12% or $28 million, with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.2%. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.12, up 10% or $0.10. Operating cash flows from continuing operations for the quarter were $171 million, down 14% or $27 million, and adjusted operating cash flows were $188 million, down 5% or $10 million. KBR returned $21 million to shareholders in regular dividends during the quarter. As of quarter end, backlog and options totaled $23.1 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio of 0.9x, or 1.0x excluding the NASA insourcing debooking. Mission Technology Solutions (MTS) segment revenues were $1.3 billion, down 5% or $60 million, with operating income of $115 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $145 million. MTS backlog and options as of quarter end totaled $17.3 billion. Notable MTS awards included the $8 billion ceiling Antarctic Science and Engineering Support Contract (ASESC) for the U.S. National Science Foundation (not yet reflected in backlog), a $208 million U.S. Army TAGM task order, and a $60 million NATO PATRIOT air and missile defense support contract. Sustainable Technology Solutions (STS) segment revenues were $762 million, up 26% or $157 million, with operating income of $124 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $147 million. STS backlog reached a record $5.8 billion, with a book-to-bill of 1.3x. STS awards included an offshore engineering contract by Aramco for the Marjan field, KBR’s Purifier ammonia technology for SABIC Agri-Nutrients’ new plant in Jubail, Saudi Arabia, the Live Oak e-NG project FEED contract in Nebraska, the Kazakhstan Sustainable Aviation Fuel project for KMG-Aero and KazFoodProducts, a Pre-FEED study for the Morocco green ammonia project by ORNX Green Hydrogen, and contracts to revamp ammonia plants in Germany and Austria for AGF Nitrogen. Liquidity as of October 2, 2026, was approximately $1.1 billion, including $625 million in borrowing capacity and $439 million in cash and cash equivalents. Net leverage ratio was 2.1x. KBR reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, including revenues of $7.90 billion to $8.36 billion, Adjusted EBITDA of $980 million to $1,040 million, Adjusted EPS of $3.87 to $4.22, and adjusted operating cash flows of $560 million to $600 million. The planned spin-off of the Mission Technology Solutions business, to be named Trinzic, is targeted for completion on January 4, 2027, subject to final approvals and the effectiveness of the registration statement on Form 10 filed with the SEC on September 30, 2026. KBR and Trinzic will host separate Investor Day events in New York City on November 11 and 12, 2026, respectively. During the quarter, KBR achieved separation milestones including publication of the Form 10 and implementation of key standalone systems and infrastructure. The company reached a settlement agreement with U.S. TRANSCOM related to the Global Household Goods Contract, converting the government's prior termination for default to termination for convenience.

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

TotalEnergies acquires 25% interest in 26 US offshore leases

TotalEnergies has acquired a 25% working interest in 26 offshore exploration leases operated by Chevron in the US.

Company NewsOctober 29, 2026

US approves $8.2bn ST LNG deepwater port off Texas coast

The US Department of Transportation has approved a licence application for the construction and operation of an $8.2bn deepwater liquefied natural gas (LNG) port by ST LNG, to be built around 10.4 miles offshore Matagorda, Texas.