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Tuesday, September 1, 2026

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Market Commentary

Oil extends gains, stocks drop as Trump issues fresh Iran warning

Oil prices extended gains as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran escalated, driven by recent military exchanges and Donald Trump's stern warning of a strong response. The U.S. strikes on an Iranian island have heightened fears of further conflict, which typically supports oil prices due to concerns over supply disruptions in the region. As tensions rise, investors are increasingly wary of potential impacts on oil production and transportation routes, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments. This uncertainty is likely to keep upward pressure on prices as market participants price in the risk of further military actions. Additionally, the broader market reacted negatively, with stocks dropping as investors sought safety in commodities like oil amid rising geopolitical risks. The situation underscores the delicate balance in the oil market, where any sign of conflict can lead to significant price fluctuations. With Iran's retaliatory actions against U.S. military targets, the potential for an escalation remains high, further complicating the supply outlook. Investors should remain vigilant as these developments unfold, as they could lead to increased volatility in oil prices. The current environment emphasizes the importance of monitoring geopolitical events closely, as they can have immediate and profound effects on energy markets. Overall, the combination of military tensions and market reactions suggests that oil prices may continue to experience upward momentum in the near term.

Market Commentary

Why ExxonMobil, Chevron, SLB, and Other Energy Stocks Climbed Today

Crude prices surged as tensions escalated between the U.S. and Iran, with Brent crude surpassing $90 per barrel, raising concerns over potential disruptions in the vital shipping lanes of the Strait of Hormuz. This geopolitical instability has prompted investors to flock to energy stocks, driving significant gains for major players like SLB, ExxonMobil, and Chevron. SLB saw a 4.8% increase, benefiting from its extensive global operations and diverse service offerings in the energy sector. ExxonMobil, the largest publicly traded oil major, climbed 2.7%, bolstered by its strong financial position and expertise in complex projects. Chevron, with its robust presence in Venezuela, rose 2.1%, positioning itself well amid ongoing geopolitical developments. Devon Energy's 2.5% gain reflects its advantageous position in the Delaware Basin, which allows for low break-even costs and strong cash flow, supporting dividends and share buybacks. Occidental Petroleum, favored by Warren Buffett, increased by 1.8%, thanks to its valuable Permian Basin assets and solid free cash flow. The overall rise in oil prices is likely to enhance the earnings potential of these companies, making them attractive investments in a volatile market. As geopolitical tensions persist, energy stocks are expected to remain in focus, with investors seeking refuge in established firms that can weather the storm. The current environment underscores the interconnectedness of geopolitical events and energy market dynamics, reinforcing the importance of monitoring these developments closely.

Market Commentary

Why More Venezuelan Oil Won’t Solve America’s Gasoline Problem

Venezuela's vast oil reserves, the largest globally, present a significant opportunity for U.S. refiners, particularly given the compatibility of its heavy crude with Gulf Coast facilities. However, the expectation that increased Venezuelan oil will lead to lower gasoline prices is overly optimistic. While securing majority control over Venezuelan fields containing over 65 billion barrels of oil may enhance U.S. supply, the complexities of production, transportation, and refining mean that immediate price relief at the pump is unlikely. The market dynamics are influenced by various factors, including existing refinery capacity, geopolitical tensions, and the current state of global oil demand. Additionally, the U.S. refining sector is already operating at high utilization rates, which limits the ability to process significantly more crude without substantial investment in infrastructure. Investors should also consider that any increase in Venezuelan oil production will take time to materialize, as the country faces numerous operational and logistical challenges. Furthermore, the global oil market remains sensitive to OPEC's production decisions and broader economic indicators, including inflation and the strength of the dollar. As such, while Venezuelan oil could provide a boost to supply in the long term, it is not a panacea for the current gasoline price challenges facing American consumers. Overall, the interplay of these factors suggests that while Venezuelan oil may contribute to U.S. supply, it will not be a quick fix for gasoline prices, keeping the market on edge as it navigates these complexities.

Market Commentary

S&P500, Dow End Lower On US-Iran Flare-Up, While Dow Records Fifth Straight Month Of Gains — NVDA, META, AON, MSTR, TSLA In Focus

Crude oil prices rose to $86 per barrel, reflecting heightened tensions in the Middle East, particularly the flare-up between the U.S. and Iran. This geopolitical instability often leads to concerns about supply disruptions, which can drive prices higher as traders seek to hedge against potential risks. The increase in energy costs has also contributed to a rise in Treasury 10-year yields, reaching their highest levels since January 2025, indicating that investors are adjusting their expectations for inflation and economic growth. Higher yields can impact the overall investment landscape, making energy stocks more attractive as they often provide better returns compared to fixed-income securities. As the Dow recorded its fifth consecutive month of gains, the broader market sentiment remains cautious, with investors weighing the implications of rising energy prices on consumer spending and economic activity. The interplay between geopolitical events and market dynamics suggests that oil prices could remain volatile in the near term, as any escalation in tensions could further disrupt supply chains. Investors should closely monitor these developments, as sustained high oil prices can lead to increased inflationary pressures, impacting overall economic growth. Additionally, the focus on major tech stocks like NVDA and META indicates a shift in investor sentiment, which could influence energy demand forecasts. Overall, the current environment underscores the importance of geopolitical factors in shaping oil market trends and pricing.

Market Commentary

Stock Market Today, Aug. 31: Stocks Edge Lower as Oil Prices Surge Again

WTI crude has surged above $90 a barrel, driven by recent U.S. military strikes that have heightened geopolitical tensions. This escalation is likely to stoke inflationary pressures, which in turn raises concerns about potential interest rate hikes. As oil prices climb, the cost of energy for consumers and businesses will increase, potentially leading to broader economic implications. Investors should be wary of how sustained high oil prices could impact consumer spending and overall economic growth. The surge in crude prices reflects not only immediate supply concerns but also the market's reaction to geopolitical instability, which often leads to increased volatility. Additionally, higher oil prices can influence OPEC's production decisions, as member countries may seek to capitalize on elevated prices. The interplay between military actions and oil prices underscores the sensitivity of the energy market to geopolitical events. As inflation concerns mount, the Federal Reserve may feel pressured to adjust monetary policy, which could further impact market dynamics. Overall, the current environment suggests that oil prices could remain elevated in the near term, with significant implications for both energy markets and the broader economy. Investors should closely monitor these developments as they navigate the complexities of the oil market.

Market Commentary

How the Venezuela Oil Deal Could Play Out

U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a significant oil deal with Venezuela signals a potential shift in the dynamics of the oil market. This deal, touted as “the biggest oil deal in world history,” could lead to increased Venezuelan oil production, which has been severely hampered by years of sanctions and mismanagement. If Venezuela can ramp up its output, it may alleviate some pressure on global oil prices, particularly if this new supply enters the market amid ongoing OPEC production cuts. Delcy Rodriguez's engagement with opposition leaders suggests a possible thaw in Venezuela's political climate, which could further stabilize the country and enhance its oil production capabilities. Investors should closely monitor how this political maneuvering unfolds, as a more stable Venezuela could lead to a significant increase in oil exports. Additionally, any easing of U.S. sanctions could open the floodgates for Venezuelan crude, impacting not only prices but also the overall supply-demand balance in the market. The potential for increased Venezuelan oil production comes at a time when global demand is recovering, which could create a complex interplay between supply increases and demand recovery. As the market digests these developments, volatility is likely to persist, especially if geopolitical tensions remain high. Overall, the implications of this deal could reshape the energy landscape, influencing both short-term price movements and long-term investment strategies in the oil sector.

Company NewsAugust 31, 2026

Trump Says Exxon Will Enter Venezuela as Oil Investment Ramps Up

President Donald Trump said ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM) is among the major oil companies preparing to enter Venezuela, signaling a potential reversal of Exxon’s nearly two-decade absence from the country. Exxon previously exited after Venezuela nationalized its assets in 2007. The company sent a technical team to study opportunities in Venezuela in March but has […]

Company NewsAugust 31, 2026

Cheniere Energy: Corpus Christi Expansion Strengthens Its LNG Growth Outlook

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (NYSE:LNG) is substantially completing the Corpus Christi Stage 3 expansion, with contractor Bechtel handing over the seventh and final liquefaction train. The project adds more than 10 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) of LNG capacity, lifting Cheniere’s overall production capacity to roughly 56 mtpa, an increase of more than 20%. The timing […]

Company NewsAugust 31, 2026

Venezuela’s Energy Reopening Could Benefit Chevron (CVX) and GE Vernova (GEV), But Risks Remain

Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX), GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE:GEV), India’s ONGC, Italy’s Eni and Colombia’s GeoPark are reportedly close to signing final agreements for energy projects in Venezuela after months of negotiations. Most of the agreements would move existing oil contracts under Venezuela’s amended hydrocarbons law, which gives foreign companies more flexibility to operate and expand fields, […]

Company NewsAugust 31, 2026

ONEOK (OKE) Doubles Down on the Permian with $4.43 Billion Brazos Acquisition

ONEOK, Inc. (NYSE:OKE) has agreed to acquire Brazos Midstream’s Permian Midland Basin natural-gas gathering and processing assets for $4.425 billion in cash. The deal is being paired with a $9 billion nonvoting minority equity investment from Apollo, of which ONEOK plans to use about $5 billion to reduce existing debt. ONEOK expects the acquisition to […]

Company NewsAugust 31, 2026

Energy Expert Warns Venezuela’s 65 Billion-Barrel Oil Deal Won’t Fix Supply Anytime Soon

Venezuela sits on a staggering share of the world's proven oil reserves, and a new U.S. deal just handed American companies a major stake in them. But one energy expert says investors may be wildly misjudging when any of that oil actually reaches the market.

Company NewsAugust 31, 2026

ONEOK to buy Permian assets from Brazos Midstream in $4.425bn deal

ONEOK has signed a definitive agreement to acquire Brazos Midstream’s natural gas gathering and processing assets in the Permian Midland Basin for $4.425bn in cash. The post ONEOK to buy Permian assets from Brazos Midstream in $4.425bn deal appeared first on NS Energy .