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Friday, September 11, 2026

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Market Commentary

The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights ExxonMobil, BP and Chevron

ExxonMobil continues to trade at a premium compared to its peers, reflecting investor confidence bolstered by high oil prices and robust production levels. This premium positioning indicates that the market expects ExxonMobil to maintain its competitive edge, particularly as it navigates the current energy landscape. Strong production figures are essential, as they not only enhance revenue but also provide a buffer against potential price volatility. Additionally, ExxonMobil's solid balance sheet reinforces its ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns. BP and Chevron are also key players in this environment, but their performance will be closely tied to their operational efficiencies and strategic decisions in response to fluctuating oil prices. The overall strength of these companies suggests a resilient sector, but investors should remain vigilant regarding geopolitical tensions and their potential impact on supply chains. As oil prices remain elevated, the focus will shift to how these companies manage their production and capital expenditures. The interplay between high oil prices and production capabilities will be crucial in determining future profitability. Investors should closely monitor inventory data and refinery capacity, as these factors will influence market dynamics and pricing trends. The current landscape presents both opportunities and challenges, making it essential for stakeholders to stay informed and agile in their strategies.

Market Commentary

Stocks tumble as oil and inflation worries fan rate hike bets

Oil prices have surged amid escalating concerns over supply disruptions stemming from the ongoing Middle East crisis, which has heightened geopolitical risks in the region. This spike in oil prices is contributing to broader inflationary pressures, as evidenced by a recent US inflation report that exceeded expectations. The combination of rising oil prices and inflation is prompting investors to reassess monetary policy, leading to increased bets on potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. As bond yields rise to levels not seen since the global financial crisis, the cost of borrowing is likely to increase, which could dampen economic growth and reduce demand for oil. The correlation between higher oil prices and inflation is creating a challenging environment for equities, as evidenced by the recent tumble in Asian stock markets. Investors should remain vigilant, as sustained high oil prices could further exacerbate inflation, prompting more aggressive monetary tightening. This scenario could lead to a volatile energy market, where oil prices may experience fluctuations based on shifts in economic sentiment and central bank policies. Additionally, the interplay between geopolitical tensions and market reactions will be crucial in determining the trajectory of oil prices in the near term. Overall, the current landscape suggests that oil and energy markets will remain sensitive to both geopolitical developments and economic indicators, making it essential for investors to closely monitor these factors.

Market Commentary

Dow Jones Futures Rise, Oil Prices Fall, Oracle Jumps; CPI Inflation Data To Inform Fed

Dow Jones futures have shown a modest rise, indicating a positive sentiment in the broader equity markets, while oil prices have experienced a slight decline. This drop in oil prices suggests a potential easing of inflationary pressures, which could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. The upcoming consumer price index (CPI) data will be crucial, as it may provide insights into inflation trends that directly impact energy demand and pricing. A lower CPI could signal reduced inflation, potentially leading to a more dovish stance from the Fed, which in turn could weaken the dollar and support oil prices. Conversely, if inflation remains stubbornly high, it could prompt the Fed to maintain or increase interest rates, putting further downward pressure on oil prices. Additionally, the performance of major companies like Oracle and Adobe reflects broader economic conditions that can affect energy consumption patterns. Investors should remain vigilant about how these economic indicators interplay with oil supply and demand dynamics. The current market environment suggests that while equity markets are buoyant, oil prices may face headwinds from macroeconomic factors. Overall, the interplay between inflation data and oil prices will be critical in shaping market expectations in the near term.

Market Commentary

Zacks.com featured highlights include LifeStance Health, Tutor Perini, News, Everus Construction and HF Sinclair

Oil prices are currently influenced by a mix of growth potential in various sectors and ongoing inflation concerns. Companies like HF Sinclair are positioned to benefit from the volatility in the energy market, as they navigate the complexities of supply and demand dynamics. The broader economic landscape, marked by inflation, continues to exert pressure on consumer spending, which could impact energy demand. As inflation persists, investors are closely monitoring how it affects both production costs and consumer behavior in the oil sector. Additionally, the performance of construction and health sectors, as highlighted by companies like Tutor Perini and LifeStance Health, may indirectly influence energy consumption patterns. Increased construction activity typically drives higher energy demand, while healthcare growth can signal economic resilience. However, any slowdown in these sectors due to inflation could dampen energy demand, creating a tug-of-war for oil prices. Market participants should remain vigilant about these interconnections, as they could lead to fluctuations in crude prices. Overall, the interplay between sector growth and inflation will be crucial in shaping the outlook for oil and energy markets in the near term.

Market Commentary

Oil Prices Could Top $120 as Middle East Conflict Escalates

Crude oil prices are poised to surge, potentially exceeding $120 per barrel of Brent crude by year-end, driven by escalating conflict in the Middle East. The recent advances by the Yemeni Houthis, particularly their control over the Red Sea port of Mokha, significantly threaten maritime traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments. This precarious situation raises the risk of direct attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure and tankers, which could severely disrupt supply chains and elevate prices. Investors should be acutely aware that any sustained conflict in this region could lead to heightened geopolitical tensions, further straining oil supply and pushing prices upward. The potential for increased volatility in oil markets is underscored by the fact that the Middle East remains a pivotal area for global energy security. As the situation develops, market participants will need to monitor not only the immediate impacts on supply but also the broader implications for demand, particularly if prices rise sharply. Additionally, any disruptions in refinery operations or inventory levels could exacerbate price movements. The interplay between geopolitical risks and market fundamentals will be crucial in determining the trajectory of oil prices in the coming months. With inflationary pressures already affecting the economy, rising oil prices could further complicate the outlook for consumers and businesses alike. Overall, the current dynamics suggest a precarious balance in the oil market, with significant upside potential if conflict continues to escalate.

Market Commentary

There Are Only a Handful of Dow Stocks That Yield Over 3%. Here's My Top Pick to Buy Before September Ends.

Chevron's emerging power business is positioning the company as a compelling option for dividend investors, particularly as it continues to evolve beyond traditional oil production. This diversification could enhance its resilience against market volatility, making it an attractive choice in a landscape where only a few Dow stocks yield over 3%. As oil prices remain sensitive to geopolitical tensions and OPEC's production decisions, companies like Chevron that are adapting to the energy transition may see increased investor interest. The stability of Chevron's dividend, combined with its strategic pivot towards renewable energy, suggests a potential for sustained cash flow even in fluctuating markets. Investors should consider how Chevron's initiatives in the power sector could bolster its long-term growth prospects, especially as demand for cleaner energy sources rises. With inflationary pressures and a strong dollar impacting overall market sentiment, energy stocks that can offer reliable returns will likely draw more attention. The current environment favors companies that can balance traditional oil production with innovative energy solutions. As the market evaluates the implications of OPEC's output strategies and U.S. production levels, Chevron's adaptability may provide a competitive edge. Overall, Chevron's blend of established oil operations and forward-looking energy initiatives positions it well for both immediate and future investment opportunities.

Company NewsSeptember 11, 2026

Plastics Recycling: TotalEnergies Becomes these

(LSE:TTE) TotalEnergies agreed to acquire Plastic Energy’s 35% interest in the Grandpuits advanced recycling plant, in which TotalEnergies already held a 65% interest. The Grandpuits advanced plastics recycling plant, located in Seine-et-Marne, is now wholly owned by TotalEnergies. The plant started production in March 2026 and has an annual capacity to process 15,000 tons of plastic waste. The Grandpuits plant transforms hard-to-recycle plastic waste from French households, including waste collected in yellow recycling bins, into a synthetic oil through a pyrolysis process. This process enables the recycling of waste that cannot be recycled mechanically and produces circular petrochemical feedstock as a substitute for fossil feedstocks. The synthetic oil contributes to producing recycled plastics of the same quality as virgin plastics, compatible with the strictest requirements, including food contact and medical applications. In 2023, TotalEnergies signed an agreement with Citeo and Paprec to secure the plant’s long-term supply of plastic waste.

Company NewsSeptember 11, 2026

Invictus Energy awards key services contract to SLB for Musuma-1 well

(ASX:IVZ) Invictus Energy is on target to follow-up southern Africa’s biggest.

Company NewsSeptember 11, 2026

Invictus Energy Advances Musuma-1 Campaign with SLB Services Contract

(NYSE:IVZ) Invictus Energy has secured an SLB drilling contract for Musuma-1 at Cabora Bassa. The company is advancing preparations ahead of the November 2026 spud.

Company NewsSeptember 10, 2026

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM): Can a $14B Budget Unlock Papua LNG?

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM) agreed to increase its Papua LNG interest from 28.7% to 34.1% and assume operatorship, as disclosed on September 7. The proposed ownership percentages reflect Papua New Guinea’s state participation rights. Papua LNG targets a fourth-quarter 2026 final investment decision, or FID. Santos Limited (ASX:STO) disclosed FID as a closing condition for […]

Company NewsSeptember 10, 2026

Exploration in Angola: TotalEnergies Announce...

(LSE:TTE) TotalEnergies announced several exploration successes at the Angola Oil & Gas Conference, including the Acacia-5 near-by discovery on Block 17, where TotalEnergies holds a 38% operated interest. First Oil from Acacia-5 will be achieved only three months after the discovery made in June 2026, through a fast-track development leveraging the available capacity on the Pazflor FPSO. Acacia-5 is expected to increase Block 17 production by 6,000 barrels per day. This marks the second exploration success in 2026 across TotalEnergies’ Angolan portfolio, following the recent Block 0 discovery in the Lower Congo Basin, where TotalEnergies holds a 10% interest alongside Chevron, operator. TotalEnergies has signed agreements with Agência Nacional de Petróleo, Gás e Biocombustíveis (ANPG) to enter with a 40% operated interest in exploration Blocks 17/25 and 32/21, located in the Lower Congo Basin, alongside ExxonMobil (40%) and Sonangol E&P (20%). These blocks benefit from extensive existing 3D seismic coverage and proximity to existing facilities in TotalEnergies-operated Blocks 17 and 32, where six FPSOs are currently producing. In February 2026, TotalEnergies signed a Head of Agreement with ANPG and ExxonMobil to farm-in with a 35% interest into exploration Blocks 40, 41, 42 and 58 in the Benguela Basin. TotalEnergies holds a 10% interest in Block 0, alongside Sonangol E&P (41%), Chevron (39.2%, operator), and Azule Energy (9.8%). Angola contributed 156,000 boe/d to TotalEnergies' hydrocarbon production in 2025. TotalEnergies employs around 1,500 people in Angola and has been present in the country since 1953.

Company NewsSeptember 10, 2026

Ignitis to Enter Into a Long-term LNG Purchas...

(LSE/AIM:IGN) UAB Ignitis will enter into a long-term LNG purchase agreement for the period 2027–2036 with a subsidiary of EQT Corporation, following the call for binding offers for the long-term supply of liquefied natural gas (LNG) announced on 25 August 2026. Under the agreement, Ignitis will commit to purchasing 10 LNG cargoes, consisting of one cargo (approx. 1 TWh) per year. The pricing under the agreement is linked to two international natural gas price benchmarks, the U.S. Henry Hub and the European TTF index. The long-term LNG purchase agreement is aimed at meeting the needs of residential natural gas consumers and will contribute to the diversification of natural gas supply sources, greater supply flexibility, more effective management of natural gas price volatility risks, and more stable supply conditions for residential natural gas consumers in Lithuania. Following amendments approved by the National Energy Regulatory Council (NERC) to the Methodology for Setting State-Regulated Prices in the Natural Gas Sector, Ignitis is able, when developing the household natural gas supply portfolio, to assess prices under both short-term and long-term contracts and to apply a broader range of international price benchmarks, with related costs taken into account when setting natural gas prices for residential consumers. Ignitis submitted to NERC a justification of the agreement before signing it. The transaction will be submitted for review to the Commission for the Coordination of the Protection of Objects Important to National Security, as required by the Law on the Protection of Objects Important to National Security of the Republic of Lithuania. The completion of the transaction is also subject to the approval of the LNG supplier's corporate governing bodies. The information provided in this announcement does not affect the Group’s Adjusted EBITDA and Investments guidance for 2026.

Market CommentarySeptember 10, 2026

US Natural Gas Market Verging on Record Growth

The projected surge in the US natural gas market, with production set to reach unprecedented levels, carries significant implications for oil prices and the broader energy landscape. As natural gas output climbs to 111.7 billion cubic feet per day by 2026, the competitive dynamics between oil and gas will intensify, particularly in power generation and industrial applications where gas is increasingly favored for its lower emissions profile. This shift could dampen oil demand in sectors traditionally reliant on crude, potentially exerting downward pressure on oil prices, especially if global economic growth falters. Moreover, the anticipated rise in domestic consumption to match production levels indicates a robust internal market that could limit US exports unless international demand keeps pace. With LNG exports also expected to rise, the US could solidify its position as a key player in global energy markets, influencing pricing benchmarks and supply strategies worldwide. The interplay between rising natural gas supply and fluctuating oil demand will be critical as OPEC and other producers adjust their strategies to maintain market balance. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions that disrupt supply chains could exacerbate volatility in both markets, as countries seek alternative energy sources amid shifting energy policies. Investors should closely monitor these developments, as the natural gas boom could reshape energy portfolios and strategies, driving a reevaluation of risk and opportunity across the sector. Ultimately, the implications of this growth extend beyond mere production numbers; they signal a transformative phase in the energy transition, where natural gas increasingly becomes a cornerstone of both domestic energy security and global energy trade.