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Thursday, August 27, 2026

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Market Commentary

Jim Cramer Says Falling Oil Prices Make PepsiCo His Next Stock Pick

Falling oil prices are reshaping investment strategies, with Jim Cramer identifying PepsiCo as a compelling stock pick. The decline in oil prices typically signals lower transportation and production costs, which can enhance profit margins for consumer goods companies like PepsiCo. This dynamic is particularly relevant as lower energy costs can lead to increased consumer spending, bolstering demand for non-cyclical products. Additionally, PepsiCo's 4% dividend yield offers an attractive return in a market where investors are seeking stability amid volatility. As oil prices decrease, the overall inflationary pressures may ease, potentially leading to a more favorable economic environment for consumer staples. Investors should consider how these factors interplay with broader market trends, especially as energy prices influence consumer behavior and corporate earnings. The correlation between energy costs and stock performance in the consumer sector is critical, and PepsiCo stands to benefit from a more favorable cost structure. With oil prices falling, the potential for increased profitability in companies like PepsiCo becomes more pronounced. This shift in focus towards consumer staples could indicate a broader market sentiment favoring stability over growth in more volatile sectors. As oil continues to fluctuate, the implications for energy markets and related investments remain significant, warranting close attention from investors.

Market Commentary

Qantas says profits slump as fuel costs surge

Qantas has reported a significant slump in annual net profits, primarily driven by soaring fuel costs exacerbated by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This situation underscores the direct impact of geopolitical tensions on energy prices, which have surged as a result of instability in oil-producing regions. The airline anticipates that these elevated fuel costs will persist, indicating a challenging environment for operators reliant on jet fuel. Despite these pressures, Qantas has managed to deliver a "strong" performance, suggesting that demand for air travel remains resilient even in the face of rising operational costs. This resilience may reflect broader trends in the energy market, where demand signals continue to show strength despite inflationary pressures. However, the sustained high fuel prices could lead to increased ticket prices, potentially dampening consumer demand in the long run. Investors should closely monitor how these dynamics play out, as they could influence not only airline profitability but also broader energy consumption patterns. The situation highlights the interconnectedness of geopolitical events and energy markets, reinforcing the need for vigilance in tracking developments in both arenas. As fuel costs remain a critical factor, airlines like Qantas may need to adapt their strategies to mitigate the impact on their bottom lines. Overall, the current landscape suggests that oil prices will remain volatile, influenced by both geopolitical factors and demand fluctuations.

Market Commentary

Why Retail Investors Are Tracking These 3 Founder Led Australian Stocks Today

Energy remains a significant factor influencing inflation, with oil prices and broader energy costs continuing to shape central bank policies. As central banks navigate the complexities of inflation, the volatility in energy markets adds an additional layer of uncertainty. Retail investors are increasingly drawn to founder-led companies, which often provide a sense of stability amid fluctuating market conditions. These leaders have a vested interest in the long-term success of their companies, making their strategic decisions more impactful. The focus on founder-led stocks reflects a broader trend where investors seek more reliable indicators in an environment characterized by rapid policy shifts. With oil prices remaining unpredictable, the connection between energy costs and inflation will likely keep investors on edge. As energy markets react to geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, the implications for oil prices could be significant. Investors should remain vigilant about how these dynamics play out, particularly as they relate to central bank responses. The interplay between energy costs and inflation will continue to be a critical factor for market participants. In this context, founder-led companies may offer a more anchored investment opportunity, appealing to those looking for stability in uncertain times.

Market Commentary

Global Oil Security Looks Shakier as Conflicts Hit 45 Million Bpd of Supply

Almost half of the world’s oil supply, approximately 45 million barrels per day, is now produced in regions embroiled in active conflicts, significantly undermining global oil security. This precarious situation raises serious concerns about the long-term stability of oil supplies and the effectiveness of diversification strategies. The Middle East remains the focal point of these disruptions, where geopolitical tensions can swiftly escalate, impacting production and exports. While speculative markets have shown some resilience, buoyed by trader optimism, the reality of physical supply constraints is becoming increasingly evident. This has resulted in rationing measures and emergency releases from strategic reserves worldwide, indicating that demand is outpacing available supply in critical areas. Investors should be aware that these dynamics are likely to keep upward pressure on oil prices, as the risk premium associated with geopolitical instability continues to grow. Additionally, the ongoing conflicts could lead to further volatility in energy markets, as any escalation could disrupt not only regional production but also global supply chains. The situation calls for close monitoring of inventory levels and refinery capacity, as these factors will play a crucial role in determining market responses. As the world grapples with these challenges, the potential for price spikes remains high, particularly if conflicts escalate or new tensions arise. Overall, the current landscape suggests that oil prices may remain elevated as the market adjusts to these significant supply risks.

Market Commentary

DT Midstream (DTM) Tests Its Bull Case As Gas Demand Narrative Meets Valuation Questions

DT Midstream (DTM) is currently navigating a complex landscape as its recent stock performance raises questions about its valuation amid shifting gas demand narratives. The stock has seen a short-term uptick of 4.6% in just one day, yet it remains down 5.6% over the past month and 7.4% over the last three months, indicating volatility and investor caution. Despite these fluctuations, DTM boasts a year-to-date return of 9.6% and an impressive total shareholder return of 33.8% over the past year, suggesting that while recent momentum has slowed, the longer-term outlook remains relatively strong. This juxtaposition of short-term weakness against a backdrop of solid annual performance highlights the challenges facing investors as they weigh immediate market conditions against potential future demand for natural gas. The ongoing evolution of gas demand, influenced by factors such as energy transition policies and economic recovery, will be critical in determining DTM's valuation moving forward. Investors should closely monitor how these dynamics play out, particularly in relation to broader energy market trends and the potential for increased competition from renewable sources. As gas demand fluctuates, so too will the market's perception of DTM's growth potential, making it essential for stakeholders to stay informed on both macroeconomic indicators and sector-specific developments. The interplay between valuation concerns and demand signals will ultimately shape the investment landscape for DTM and similar entities in the energy sector.

Market Commentary

Octopus Boss Warns UK Is Too Exposed to Global Gas Prices

UK energy markets are facing significant pressure as Octopus Energy's CEO, Greg Jackson, highlights the country's vulnerability to global gas price fluctuations. The ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Iran have exacerbated this volatility, leaving households at risk of soaring energy costs. Despite government measures such as removing VAT from electricity and cutting certain levies, Jackson emphasizes that these steps are insufficient to alleviate the financial burden on consumers. The reliance on imported gas means that any geopolitical tensions or supply disruptions can lead to immediate price spikes, impacting both residential and commercial energy users. Investors should be aware that this instability could lead to increased demand for alternative energy sources and a push for reforms in the energy market. The call for urgent reform suggests that policymakers may need to consider more sustainable and resilient energy strategies to mitigate these risks. As the UK grapples with these challenges, the potential for higher energy bills could dampen consumer spending and economic growth. This scenario may also influence the broader energy market, as countries seek to diversify their energy sources to reduce dependence on volatile global markets. Overall, the current landscape underscores the need for strategic investments in energy infrastructure and a shift towards more stable energy solutions. The implications for oil prices could be significant, as any shift in demand dynamics or supply chain adjustments may reverberate across the global energy market.

Company NewsAugust 26, 2026

Ovintiv Announces Permian and Montney Inventory Additions

(NYSE: OVV) (TSX: OVV) Ovintiv Inc. today provided an update on its 2026 ground game acquisition program, stating that on a year-to-date basis, the Company has entered into over 60 transactions, which will result in the addition of approximately 41,000 net acres of land across its Montney and Permian assets for a total acquisition cost of approximately $460 million. The transactions will add 240 net 10,000-foot equivalent well locations to Ovintiv's drilling inventory (190 base locations and 50 upside locations). The assets are being acquired at an attractive valuation of approximately $11,000 per net acre, and approximately $1.3 million to $1.7 million per well location, when adjusted for minimal production volumes from the assets. In the Permian, Ovintiv is acquiring approximately 21,000 net acres of land and 120 total well locations (80 base locations and 40 upside locations) in the Midland basin for approximately $230 million. In the Montney, Ovintiv is acquiring approximately 20,000 net acres of land and 120 total well locations (110 base locations and 10 upside locations) in the liquids-rich Alberta oil window for approximately $230 million. Following these transactions, the Company will have added approximately 500 net 10,000-foot equivalent well locations year-to-date, with the inclusion of 260 locations from organic inventory enhancement. Ovintiv expects the remaining transactions to close before the end of the year.

Company NewsAugust 26, 2026

Rockhopper Exploration: Sea Lion Reserves Evaluation

(AIM:RKH) Rockhopper Exploration plc announced the results from an updated independent technical report conducted by Netherland, Sewell & Associates, Inc. on the Company's Sea Lion field, effective as at 31 July 2026. The New Report shows that overall gross resource volumes and Net Present Values have increased when compared with the Company's previous independent resource evaluation effective December 2025. The increase in resources combined with the acceleration of development at the Central Development Area and updated commodity price assumptions has led to a significant increase of approximately $788 million in the 2P + 2C Net Present Value of Rockhopper's 35% interest in the Sea Lion development. The New Report has been prepared in accordance with the definitions and guidelines set forth in the 2018 Petroleum Resources Management System approved by the Society of Petroleum Engineers.

Company NewsAugust 26, 2026

Enbridge to Extend Permian Export Value Chain With Acquisition of Salt Creek Midstream's Crude Gathering Business

(TSX:ENB, NYSE:ENB) Enbridge Inc. announced that, through a wholly-owned subsidiary, it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Salt Creek Midstream's crude oil gathering business, comprising 100% of the Orla and Wink North systems and a 50% interest in the Delaware Crossing (DCX) system for cash consideration of US$600 million. The business includes approximately 500 miles of crude oil gathering infrastructure located in the core of the Delaware Basin, one of the most prolific and competitive crude oil producing regions in North America. The system serves a diversified group of more than 20 producers and is supported by approximately 320,000 net dedicated acres under long-term commercial agreements. The Orla, Wink North and DCX gathering systems have a combined 420,000 barrels per day of throughput capacity and 350,000 barrels of storage capacity. The acquisition will provide a direct strategic connection between crude oil production in the Permian Basin to export at Enbridge Ingleside Energy Center, North America's largest crude export terminal. Enbridge expects the transaction to be immediately accretive to distributable cash flow per share and earnings per share and the Company's 2026 financial guidance remains unchanged by this announcement. The transaction is expected to close later in 2026, subject to the satisfaction of customary closing conditions, including clearance from the Federal Trade Commission under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act of 1976.

Market CommentaryAugust 26, 2026

Netherlands to Miss Natural Gas Filling Target for Winter

The Netherlands' failure to meet its natural gas storage target for winter is a significant red flag for energy markets, particularly as Europe braces for potentially severe weather conditions. This shortfall, with the country falling short of the 115 terawatt-hours goal, underscores the fragility of the European gas supply chain, which is already under pressure from geopolitical tensions and fluctuating demand. As natural gas prices are closely tied to oil markets, this development could lead to increased competition for energy resources, pushing oil prices higher as consumers and industries pivot to alternative fuels. The implications extend beyond immediate pricing; a tight gas supply could force European nations to ramp up oil consumption, particularly in power generation and heating, thereby tightening the overall oil market. Additionally, this situation may compel European governments to reconsider their energy strategies, potentially accelerating investments in alternative energy sources or even re-evaluating their commitments to phasing out fossil fuels. As the winter progresses, any further disruptions in gas supply could exacerbate inflationary pressures across the continent, impacting economic growth and energy security. Moreover, if the Netherlands struggles, other European countries may follow suit, leading to a cascading effect that could destabilize the broader energy landscape. Investors should closely monitor these developments, as they could signal shifts in demand dynamics that may influence OPEC's production strategies and pricing decisions in the coming months. The interplay between gas shortages and oil prices will be critical to watch, as a prolonged gas crisis could fundamentally reshape energy consumption patterns across Europe.

Market CommentaryAugust 26, 2026

Natural Gas, Not Oil, is Key Inflation Concern in Europe

The rising concern over natural gas prices in Europe signifies a pivotal shift in the energy landscape that could have profound implications for oil markets. As natural gas prices soar to five-month highs, driven by the urgency to secure LNG supplies ahead of winter, the focus on gas rather than oil suggests a decoupling of the two markets in terms of inflationary pressures. This dynamic could lead to a relative stabilization of crude oil prices, as the immediate threat to inflation is now more closely tied to the volatility of gas markets. However, the underlying tensions in the Middle East, particularly the disruptions caused by the Iran conflict, continue to cast a shadow over oil supply security, potentially leading to a risk premium in crude prices if geopolitical tensions escalate further. The competition for LNG between Europe and Asia exacerbates the situation, as Europe finds itself at a disadvantage, which could lead to increased reliance on oil as an alternative energy source in the short term. If natural gas prices remain elevated, industrial users in Europe may pivot back to oil, thereby increasing demand and potentially tightening the crude market. Additionally, the broader macroeconomic implications of high energy prices, particularly in natural gas, could stifle economic growth in Europe, leading to reduced demand for oil in the longer term. In this context, while oil prices may not see immediate spikes, the interconnectedness of energy markets means that any sustained pressure on natural gas could eventually spill over into crude oil dynamics, creating a complex interplay that investors must navigate carefully.

Market CommentaryAugust 26, 2026

Oil Drops as Tankers Begin Moving More Gulf Crude

The recent drop in oil prices signals a significant shift in market dynamics as tankers begin to transport more Gulf crude, particularly in light of the newly proposed maritime corridor through the Strait of Hormuz. This development is critical as it could alleviate some of the supply chain pressures that have persisted due to geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and Iran. The 9% decline in prices this week reflects a market reassessment of risk, as the potential for increased supply from this corridor could counterbalance previous fears surrounding disruptions in one of the world's most vital shipping lanes. While crude prices remain elevated, up over 41% year-to-date, the recent easing of tensions could lead to a more stable supply outlook, which may further depress prices in the short term. Additionally, as tankers begin to move more crude, this could indicate a shift in Iran's oil export strategy, potentially leading to increased volumes entering the market and further impacting global supply dynamics. Investors should closely monitor how this corridor affects not only the flow of oil but also the broader geopolitical landscape, as any missteps could reignite tensions and volatility. Furthermore, the interplay between OPEC's production decisions and this new supply influx will be crucial in determining the future trajectory of prices. If OPEC maintains its current production cuts, the market may find a balance, but any significant increase in supply could challenge the cartel's ability to support prices. Overall, this development underscores the delicate balance of supply and demand in the oil market and highlights the ongoing influence of geopolitical factors on price stability.

Company NewsAugust 26, 2026

Enbridge Buys $600 Million Permian Crude Network

Enbridge is expanding deeper into the Permian Basin with a $600 million acquisition of Salt Creek Midstream’s crude oil gathering business, strengthening the pipeline giant’s ability to move barrels from the Delaware Basin to export markets on the U.S. Gulf Coast

Company NewsAugust 26, 2026

ExxonMobil to Speak at Barclays 40th Annual Energy-Power Conference

SPRING, Texas, August 26, 2026--ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE: XOM) today announced Neil Hansen, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will conduct a fireside chat at the Barclays 40th Annual Energy-Power Conference in New York on September 9, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. ET.

Company NewsAugust 26, 2026

Elanco Scales Biologics Capabilities with Expansion of Kansas Manufacturing Facility

(NYSE: ELAN) Elanco Animal Health Incorporated announced the on-time completion of a 25,000-square-foot manufacturing expansion of its Elwood, Kansas manufacturing site. The expansion increases production capacity of the manufacturing site by more than four times with upstream and downstream processing equipment. This $120 million investment also includes a new pilot plant to accelerate process development and deliver the materials needed for clinical testing, a new quality control laboratory and additional support spaces. Another $30 million investment is planned through 2028 to include additional warehousing, for a total investment of $150 million. Elanco recently announced the phased launch of Befrena™ (tirnovetmab), a new anti-IL-31 mAb injection for treatment of canine allergic and atopic dermatitis. Elanco's first mAb product, Trutect™ (formerly Canine Parvovirus Monoclonal Antibody), received full approval in 2025 as the first and only approved therapeutic solution for canine parvovirus. According to Elanco's latest survey of 1,409 U.S. pet owners conducted earlier this year, pet health and wellness remain top priorities as a protected budget item.