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Wednesday, August 5, 2026

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Market Commentary

Hormuz Crisis Is Rewriting the Global LPG Trade

The ongoing crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is significantly impacting the global liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) trade, as Iranian attacks on vessels have effectively closed this vital maritime route. This disruption is not only affecting crude oil and natural gas supplies but is also creating a ripple effect throughout the LPG market. The United States, as the leading exporter of LPG, may find itself in a position to capitalize on the reduced supply from Gulf countries, including Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar, which are major exporters now cut off due to the crisis. As these Gulf nations struggle to maintain their export levels, the potential for increased demand for U.S. LPG could drive prices higher, benefiting American producers. Investors should closely monitor how long the Strait remains compromised, as prolonged disruptions could lead to tighter global LPG supplies and increased volatility in pricing. Additionally, the geopolitical tensions surrounding this choke point could further exacerbate market uncertainty, influencing not just LPG but also broader energy prices. The interplay between U.S. exports and Middle Eastern supply constraints will be crucial in shaping market dynamics in the coming weeks. As the situation evolves, traders should remain vigilant about potential shifts in demand and supply that could impact their positions. Overall, the Hormuz crisis is rewriting the rules of the LPG trade, and its implications will resonate throughout the energy markets.

Market Commentary

India Hopes To Take Over Operation Of Venezuelan Oil Fields From PDVSA

India's ONGC is set to take over the operation of two significant oil projects in Venezuela from PDVSA, marking a pivotal shift in control over some of the world's largest proven crude oil reserves. This move comes as ONGC anticipates signing new agreements under Venezuela's revised petroleum law, which could enhance operational efficiency and output from these assets. The transition of control from PDVSA, a company hampered by U.S. sanctions and operational challenges, could lead to increased production levels, potentially impacting global oil supply dynamics. As ONGC gains direct operational control, investors should monitor how this affects Venezuela's oil output and its implications for global oil prices. The Indian government's interest in Venezuelan oil underscores a strategic pivot towards securing energy resources amid fluctuating global supply chains. Additionally, this development may influence OPEC's production strategies, particularly if Venezuela's output increases significantly. The geopolitical landscape surrounding oil production is shifting, and India's involvement could alter the balance of power in the region. With inflationary pressures and demand signals fluctuating, any increase in Venezuelan oil production could provide some relief to tight global markets. Overall, ONGC's operational takeover could introduce new volatility in oil prices as the market adjusts to these changes.

Market Commentary

Aramco's Record Profits Hide a Growing Cash Flow Crisis

Aramco's second-quarter results reveal a staggering adjusted net income of $33.4 billion, pushing first-half earnings to $67.2 billion, underscoring its dominance as the world's largest oil producer. However, these impressive figures mask a growing cash flow crisis that could have significant implications for the Kingdom's financial stability. Despite the record profits, the geopolitical turmoil, particularly the ongoing conflict in Iran, is creating an environment of uncertainty that could impact future revenues. Investors should be cautious, as the reliance on high oil prices to sustain such profits may not be sustainable in the long term. The market is also grappling with fluctuating demand signals, which could further complicate Aramco's financial outlook. Additionally, any shifts in OPEC's production strategy or changes in US shale output could exacerbate the situation, leading to potential volatility in oil prices. The dollar's strength and inflationary pressures are also factors that could influence cash flows and operational costs for Aramco. As the global energy landscape evolves, the interplay between these elements will be crucial for assessing the future trajectory of oil prices. Overall, while Aramco's current profitability is impressive, the underlying cash flow challenges warrant close scrutiny from investors.

Market Commentary

Shell Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates as Higher Oil Prices Boost Results

Shell's second-quarter earnings have exceeded expectations, driven by higher oil prices and improved margins, which have significantly bolstered profits across its key segments. This performance underscores the resilience of major oil companies in a recovering market, as they capitalize on elevated crude prices. The stronger operational gains reflect not only favorable pricing but also effective cost management and operational efficiencies that have become critical in the current environment. As oil prices remain robust, investors should anticipate continued positive momentum for integrated oil companies like Shell, which are well-positioned to benefit from both upstream and downstream activities. The broader implications for the energy market suggest that sustained high prices could encourage further investment in exploration and production, potentially tightening supply in the future. Additionally, this earnings report may influence market sentiment, reinforcing the view that the oil sector is on a recovery trajectory. With demand signals remaining strong and geopolitical tensions persisting, the outlook for oil prices appears supportive. Investors should closely monitor how these dynamics play out in the coming quarters, particularly as OPEC's production decisions and global economic conditions evolve. Overall, Shell's performance is a clear indicator of the potential for profitability in the oil sector amidst fluctuating market conditions.

Company NewsAugust 5, 2026

Par Pacific Holdings Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

(NYSE: PARR) Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. reported net income attributable to Par Pacific stockholders of $462.1 million, or $9.35 per diluted share, for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. Adjusted Net Income attributable to Par Pacific stockholders was $499.2 million, or $10.10 per diluted share, and Adjusted EBITDA was $571.3 million for the second quarter of 2026. The Refining segment reported operating income of $629.9 million and throughput of 181 thousand barrels per day (Mbpd) for the second quarter of 2026. Par Pacific completed a $500 million Senior Unsecured Notes offering, reducing term debt by more than $130 million, and reported total liquidity of $1.4 billion at June 30, 2026. Net cash provided by operations totaled $282.6 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026, including working capital outflows of $(312.2) million and deferred turnaround expenditures of $(19.5) million. The company projects a substantial portion of these working capital outflows to reverse as commodity prices normalize and Hawaii inventory returns to more typical levels following the turnaround. Par Pacific owns and operates 219,000 bpd of combined refining capacity across four locations in Hawaii, the Pacific Northwest and the Rockies, and an extensive energy infrastructure network, including 13 million barrels of storage.

Company NewsAugust 5, 2026

National Energy Services Reunited Secures $300 Million in Multiple Services & Technology Contracts in Kuwait

(NASDAQ:NESR) National Energy Services Reunited Corp. announced multiple contract awards in Kuwait, totaling $300 million over five years. The awards cover both Production Services and Drilling & Evaluation segments and include a Master Technology Agreement ("MTA") to deploy NESR's Open Technology Platform through the Company's in-country research hub. NESR will pioneer innovation and bring best-in-class technologies from around the world, tailoring them to the upstream ecosystem in Kuwait. The company is building a one-of-a-kind research center focused on challenge-specific innovations in upstream, sustainability, and unconventional resources. NESR also received its first Joint Operations intervention contract and a surface Well Testing contract with KOC. The company has over 7,000 employees, representing more than 60 nationalities in 16 countries. NESR is one of the largest national oilfield services providers in the MENA and Asia Pacific regions.

Company NewsAugust 5, 2026

Pampa Energía Announces Six-month Period and Second Quarter 2026 Results

(NYSE: PAM) Pampa Energía S.A. announced its results for the semester and quarter ended on June 30, 2026, reporting sales of US$746 million in Q2 26, up 53% year-on-year. Oil and gas production reached 107.5 kboe/day in Q2 26, a 28% increase from Q2 25, with crude oil production at 23.4 kbpd, up 194%. Adjusted EBITDA totaled US$415 million, a 75% year-on-year increase, and net income attributable to shareholders was US$172 million, 4.3x Q2 25. Net debt stood at US$1.3 billion as of June 2026, compared to US$801 million as of December 2025, reflecting higher capital expenditures on RDA and increased collateral requirements due to oil hedging. Power generation reached 5,363 GWh, up 14% year-on-year, and the average gas price was US$4.6/MBTU, up 15%. The company projects continued ramp-up at Rincón de Aranda and ongoing strong power generation performance.

Company NewsAugust 5, 2026

Gran Tierra Energy Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

(TSX:GTE, LSE:GTE) Gran Tierra Energy Inc. announced its financial and operating results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, reporting total average working interest production of 41,501 BOEPD, net income of $25 million, adjusted EBITDA of $85 million, and positive free cash flow of approximately $6.0 million. The company completed a disposition of Lodgepole assets for C$12.8 million (US$9.3 million) and finished its $123.0 million capital carry commitment under the Suroriente joint venture with Ecopetrol S.A. Gran Tierra generated sales of $187 million, had a cash balance of $127 million, total gross debt of $606 million, and net debt of $479 million as of June 30, 2026. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $54 million, and the company repurchased $9.2 million in face value of its 9.75% Senior Notes due April 15, 2031, at a discount of 12%, with an additional $15.0 million repurchased after the quarter at a 10% discount. The company received government approval of three additional field development plans in Ecuador, bringing total approvals to five of six fields, and completed a six-well development drilling program at the Cohembi field in Colombia. Gran Tierra holds approximately 139 net sections in the Clearwater area and 30 net sections at Mount Head in Canada, with unrisked best estimate contingent resources (2C) of approximately 6.5 MMbbl at Dawson Clearwater, and unrisked best-estimate prospective resources (P50) of approximately 55 MMbbl at Dawson Clearwater and 12 MMbbl at Mount Head. The company projects capital expenditures to be within previously stated guidance and plans to focus drilling activity in Dawson Clearwater and Mount Head in 2027.

Company NewsAugust 5, 2026

Gran Tierra Energy Announces Agreement to Sell Its Colombia and Ecuador Business to Maurel & Prom and Reposition the Company for Fully Financed Growth

(TSX:GTE, LSE:GTE) Gran Tierra Energy Inc. announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to sell its oil business in Colombia and Ecuador to Établissements Maurel & Prom S.A. for a total consideration of $1.33 billion. The purchaser will assume substantially all of Gran Tierra’s net liabilities, and Gran Tierra expects to have total net cash proceeds of approximately $315 million, including approximately $250 million in cash at closing and a $65 million unsecured note payable 364 days after closing. The divested business represents approximately 29,000 barrels of oil per day of first half 2026 average working-interest production, approximately 144 million barrels of proved-plus-probable (2P) reserves, and approximately 1.4 million gross acres across Colombia and Ecuador. Gran Tierra estimates a pro-forma proved-developed-producing (PDP) net asset value (NPV10 BT) of approximately $12.49 per share (fully diluted), representing a premium of approximately 83% to its 20-day volume weighted average price of $6.82 per share. The transaction is targeted to close on or about December 31, 2026, with an economic effective date of March 31, 2026, and is subject to stockholder and regulatory approvals. The company projects to be debt-free with significant liquidity, including an undrawn $75 million (CAD) credit facility, and plans to return capital to stockholders through a share repurchase, with the structure, size, and terms to be determined by the Board of Directors.

Company NewsAugust 5, 2026

VAALCO Energy Provides Operational Update for Ongoing Drilling Program in Offshore Gabon

(NYSE: EGY, LSE: EGY) VAALCO Energy, Inc. announced operational updates in offshore Gabon, including the successful drilling, completion, and production placement of the ETBNM-3 gas-supply well in the crestal portion of the North Tchibala structure from the Dentale D-15 reservoir. Reservoir properties were above pre-drill estimates, with strong porosity and permeability and over 10 meters of net reservoir pay. The ETBNM-3 well provides sufficient gas supply for field operations, liftings, and power needs, significantly reducing the costs of higher priced diesel. Evaluation is ongoing to assess the potential of the shallower pay intervals encountered in the D-9 and D-12 intervals, which appear to contain wet gas to light oil pay. The drilling campaign continued by moving the rig on 27th July to a new slot on the SEENT platform to drill the ETSEM-3PH pilot hole and development well. The pilot well is designed to test the original field Oil Water Contact and potential of the underlying Dentale formation, with a subsequent horizontal development well planned with a completion length of 300 meters within the Gamba sands. Vaalco, founded in 1985 and incorporated under the laws of Delaware, is based in Houston, Texas, USA, with a diverse portfolio of production, development, and exploration assets across Gabon, Egypt, Côte d'Ivoire, and Equatorial Guinea.

Market CommentaryAugust 5, 2026

Strategists Expect USA Crude Build in Next EIA Report

An anticipated build in U.S. crude inventories, as forecasted by Macquarie strategists, is likely to exert downward pressure on oil prices in the near term. This expected increase in stockpiles reflects a potential oversupply in the market, which could dampen bullish sentiment among investors already wary of demand fluctuations. If the EIA data confirms this build, it may signal that domestic production is outpacing consumption, particularly as refinery runs may not be keeping pace with the output. The implications for the broader energy market are significant, especially as concerns about global demand persist, particularly from key consumers like China and India, where economic activity is showing signs of slowing. Additionally, any rise in inventories could complicate OPEC+ efforts to manage supply effectively, as the group seeks to balance production cuts with the need to support prices amid a volatile geopolitical landscape. The strength of the U.S. dollar also plays a critical role, as a stronger dollar can make oil more expensive for foreign buyers, further impacting demand. Furthermore, with the Federal Reserve's ongoing monetary policy decisions influencing economic growth and inflation, the risk of recession looms large, potentially curbing energy consumption. As market participants await the EIA report, the focus will be on how these inventory levels align with broader supply-demand dynamics and what that means for future pricing trends. Overall, a confirmed crude build could shift market sentiment, reinforcing bearish trends in oil prices and prompting a reevaluation of investment strategies in the energy sector.

Market CommentaryAugust 5, 2026

Coastal Bend LNG Enters Permitting Phase

The entry of Coastal Bend LNG into the permitting phase is a significant development for the energy markets, particularly for natural gas and its influence on oil prices. As the U.S. continues to expand its liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity, this project could enhance the country's ability to supply global markets, particularly in Europe and Asia, where demand for cleaner energy sources is surging. Increased LNG exports can lead to a tighter natural gas market domestically, potentially raising prices and impacting the fuel mix for power generation, which in turn can affect oil demand as natural gas replaces oil in various applications. The timing of this project coincides with ongoing geopolitical tensions that have disrupted traditional energy supply chains, making U.S. LNG a more attractive option for countries seeking energy security. Furthermore, as the global economy navigates through potential recession risks, the demand for energy will remain a critical factor; if economic activity rebounds, the need for both oil and gas will likely increase, supporting prices. The permitting process will be closely watched by investors, as any delays could impact the timeline for additional supply entering the market. Additionally, the strength of the U.S. dollar plays a crucial role in how competitive U.S. LNG will be on the international stage, influencing both export levels and oil prices. Overall, the Coastal Bend LNG project represents a strategic move in the U.S. energy landscape that could have far-reaching implications for both natural gas and oil markets, reinforcing the interconnectedness of these commodities in a rapidly evolving energy environment.

Market CommentaryAugust 5, 2026

US Oil Product Inventories Continue to Fall

The continued decline in US oil product inventories signals tightening supply dynamics that could support higher oil prices in the near term. While crude oil inventories increased by 2.5 million barrels, the drop in refined product stocks indicates robust demand, particularly as the summer driving season peaks. This divergence suggests that while crude supply may be adequate, the market is absorbing refined products at a faster pace, which could lead to upward pressure on gasoline and diesel prices. As refiners operate to meet this demand, margins are likely to improve, incentivizing further processing activity. Additionally, with geopolitical tensions persisting in key oil-producing regions, any disruptions could exacerbate the supply-demand imbalance, pushing prices higher. The strength of the US dollar also plays a critical role; a weaker dollar typically enhances the attractiveness of oil as an investment, potentially driving prices up further. Furthermore, as global demand from major consumers like China and India remains resilient, the outlook for oil consumption continues to strengthen. The interplay of these factors, combined with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, introduces a layer of complexity, as any signs of recession could dampen demand forecasts. However, the current trajectory of falling product inventories suggests that the market is currently more focused on immediate supply constraints rather than longer-term economic concerns. Overall, the situation underscores a bullish sentiment in the oil market, with potential for price increases if these trends persist.

Market CommentaryAugust 5, 2026

Gulf Oil Exports Steady in July Despite Fighting, Still Below Pre-war Levels

The steady Gulf oil exports in July, despite ongoing conflict, signal a degree of resilience in the region's production capabilities, which is crucial for stabilizing oil prices amid geopolitical tensions. With exports approximately 40% below pre-war levels, the market remains sensitive to any potential escalation in fighting that could threaten supply chains. However, the current stability alleviates immediate fears of severe disruptions, which could have otherwise driven prices higher. This situation underscores the delicate balance between supply and demand, particularly as global markets grapple with fluctuating demand from key consumers like China and India. The ongoing conflict in the region continues to cast a shadow over long-term supply forecasts, yet the current export levels suggest that Gulf producers are managing to maintain output under challenging conditions. As the market digests these dynamics, the implications for refinery margins and overall energy prices will depend heavily on how demand evolves in the coming months, especially with the potential for economic slowdowns in major economies. Additionally, the strength of the US dollar plays a pivotal role in pricing dynamics, as a stronger dollar can make oil more expensive for foreign buyers, potentially dampening demand. Investors will need to closely monitor not just the export figures but also the broader macroeconomic indicators that could influence both supply and demand in the oil market. Overall, while the current stability is a positive sign, the underlying risks remain, and any shifts in geopolitical stability or economic conditions could quickly alter the landscape.

Market CommentaryAugust 5, 2026

Company Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Higher Volumes & Prices

EOG's impressive second-quarter earnings, driven by higher oil prices and a significant production increase of 24.4%, underscore the resilience of the U.S. shale sector amid fluctuating market conditions. This performance not only highlights the company's operational efficiency but also signals a broader trend of improved profitability across the industry as higher volumes translate into stronger revenue streams. The 57.4% surge in revenue reflects an environment where rising oil prices are bolstering cash flows, which could encourage further investment in production and exploration. As EOG and similar companies capitalize on favorable pricing, the potential for increased supply from U.S. shale could exert downward pressure on oil prices if global demand does not keep pace. Moreover, the robust earnings and free cash flow reported by EOG may lead to enhanced shareholder returns, which could attract more capital into the sector, further intensifying competition among producers. This dynamic is particularly relevant as OPEC+ navigates its production strategies, balancing the need to support prices while managing the risk of oversupply. Additionally, with the demand outlook remaining uncertain, especially in key markets like China and India, the ability of U.S. producers to ramp up output could complicate the global supply-demand equation. The interplay between U.S. production gains and OPEC+ decisions will be crucial in shaping oil price trajectories in the coming months. As geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic factors continue to influence market sentiment, EOG's earnings serve as a bellwether for the health of the energy sector and its capacity to adapt to changing market realities.

Market CommentaryAugust 5, 2026

Oil Dips on Iran-Oman Hormuz Move

The potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments, introduces significant implications for oil prices and the broader energy market. A deal between the US and Iran could alleviate fears of supply disruptions, which have historically driven prices higher amid geopolitical tensions. As the market digests this news, oil prices have dipped, reflecting a cautious optimism that may undermine the recent upward momentum driven by OPEC+ production cuts and tightening supply. The prospect of increased Iranian oil exports could further saturate an already delicate balance between supply and demand, particularly as global demand remains uncertain amid mixed signals from major consumers like China and India. Additionally, the interplay between stock market performance and energy prices suggests that investor sentiment is increasingly tied to geopolitical developments, which could lead to volatility in oil markets. If the Strait of Hormuz reopens, it could also strengthen the US dollar, further complicating the pricing dynamics for oil, which is typically inversely correlated with dollar strength. Refinery margins may come under pressure if crude supply increases without a corresponding rise in demand, potentially leading to lower profitability for refiners. As the market assesses these developments, the risk of recession looms large, which could dampen demand forecasts and exacerbate price fluctuations. Overall, while the potential for a deal brings hope for stability, the complexities of global supply and demand dynamics, alongside macroeconomic factors, will continue to shape the oil market landscape.

Market CommentaryAugust 5, 2026

Hormuz Draft Agreement Reportedly Awaits Khamenei Approval

The potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, contingent on the approval of Iran’s supreme leader, carries significant implications for oil prices and the broader energy market. This vital waterway is responsible for a substantial portion of global oil and LNG exports, and any disruption or uncertainty surrounding its accessibility can lead to immediate volatility in oil prices. If the draft agreement is approved, it would alleviate some geopolitical tensions that have historically spiked prices due to fears of supply disruptions. Conversely, if negotiations falter or if Iran decides to maintain a more aggressive posture in the region, we could see a resurgence of risk premiums in oil markets, particularly as traders react to the potential for conflict. Additionally, the timing of this announcement coincides with broader concerns about demand from key markets like China and India, which are critical for absorbing any excess supply. The interplay between this geopolitical development and the ongoing dynamics of OPEC+ production decisions will be crucial, especially as the group navigates its output levels amid fluctuating global demand. Furthermore, the strength of the US dollar and its impact on oil prices cannot be overlooked, as a stronger dollar typically pressures oil prices lower, complicating the situation further. Refinery margins are also likely to be affected, as any increase in crude prices could squeeze margins if product prices do not keep pace. Ultimately, the outcome of this negotiation will be a key driver for oil market sentiment in the near term, influencing both pricing and strategic positioning among investors.

Company NewsAugust 5, 2026

Kura Oncology to Report Second Quarter Financial Results

(NASDAQ:KURA) Kura Oncology, Inc. announced it will report its second quarter 2026 financial results after the close of the U.S financial markets on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Kura’s management will host a webcast and conference call at 4:30 p.m. ET / 1:30 p.m. PT to discuss the results and provide a corporate update. The live webcast and archived replay of the event may be accessed on the Company’s website at www.kuraoncology.com under the Investors tab in the Events and Presentations section. Kura Oncology is a biopharmaceutical company committed to realizing the promise of precision medicines for the treatment of cancer. Kura’s pipeline of small molecule drug candidates is designed to target cancer signaling pathways and address high-need hematologic malignancies and solid tumors. Kura developed and is commercializing KOMZIFTI® (ziftomenib), the FDA-approved once-daily, oral menin inhibitor for the treatment of adults with relapsed or refractory NPM1-mutated acute myeloid leukemia. The company continues to pioneer advancements in menin inhibition and farnesyl transferase inhibition.

Company NewsAugust 5, 2026

NESR Secures $300 Million in Multiple Services & Technology Contracts in Kuwait

(NASDAQ:NESR) National Energy Services Reunited Corp. announced multiple contract awards in Kuwait, totaling $300 million over five years. The awards cover both Production Services and Drilling & Evaluation segments and include a Master Technology Agreement ("MTA") to deploy NESR's Open Technology Platform through the Company's in-country research hub. NESR will pioneer innovation and bring best-in-class technologies from around the world, tailoring them to the upstream ecosystem in Kuwait. The company is building a one-of-a-kind research center focused on challenge-specific innovations in upstream, sustainability, and unconventional resources. NESR also received its first Joint Operations intervention contract and a surface Well Testing contract with KOC. The company has over 7,000 employees, representing more than 60 nationalities in 16 countries. NESR is one of the largest national oilfield services providers in the MENA and Asia Pacific regions.

Company NewsAugust 4, 2026

Devon Energy Reports Second-Quarter 2026 Results

(NYSE: DVN) Devon Energy Corp. reported financial and operational results for the second-quarter 2026. The company also provided a third-quarter 2026 outlook. Devon’s earnings release, supplemental financial tables, guidance and related earnings presentation can be accessed via the Investor Relations section of Devon’s website, www.devonenergy.com. The company’s second-quarter conference call will be held at 10:00 a.m. Central time (11:00 a.m. Eastern time) on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Devon Energy is described as a leading oil and gas producer in the U.S. with a diversified multi-basin portfolio headlined by a world-class acreage position in the Delaware Basin. The company’s business model is described as disciplined and designed to achieve strong returns, generate free cash flow and return capital to shareholders, while focusing on safe and sustainable operations. No specific financial figures, production volumes, or counterparties are disclosed in the text.