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Tuesday, November 10, 2026

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Market Commentary

Oil Prices Retreat as Peace Hopes Grow

Crude prices have retreated significantly as diplomatic hopes for de-escalation in the Iran conflict gain traction, coupled with a resurgence in oil flows from the Persian Gulf. Brent crude briefly dipped below $90 a barrel, reflecting a broader selloff driven by expectations of reduced military engagement. The global benchmark settled under $92 after a notable decline of 3.7% on Tuesday, marking a stark contrast to its nearly 50% increase earlier this year. Investor sentiment has shifted dramatically, with trend-following commodity trading advisers slashing their long positions in Brent and West Texas Intermediate to just 9%, down from 45%. This technical adjustment, alongside robust crude exports from the Middle East, is contributing to the downward pressure on prices. US gasoline prices have also fallen below $4 a gallon for the first time since July, indicating a broader easing in energy costs. The decline in premiums for physical barrels and reduced tanker hiring costs further underscores the market's shift. President Trump's recent comments about winding down military actions in Iran, amid domestic political pressures, have bolstered optimism for a peaceful resolution. While the situation remains fluid, the increase in oil shipments from the region, despite ongoing tensions, suggests a potential stabilization in supply. The market is currently navigating a complex landscape of geopolitical posturing, but the prevailing sentiment leans towards lower prices as peace talks progress. Investors should remain vigilant as these developments unfold, as they could significantly impact future pricing dynamics in the oil market.

Market Commentary

Freehold Royalties Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results and Expansion into the Duvernay, West-Central Alberta

Freehold Royalties has reported a robust third quarter for 2026, with total production reaching 15,758 barrels of oil equivalent per day, of which 10,275 barrels per day were crude oil and natural gas liquids, indicating a strong 65% liquids weighting. This production profile is significant as it underscores the company's focus on high-value liquids, which are currently benefiting from elevated prices in the market. The company generated royalty and other revenue of $100 million, with over 91% derived from crude oil and natural gas liquids, highlighting the critical role these commodities play in its financial performance. Funds from operations totaled $80 million, reflecting solid cash flow generation amid favorable market conditions. Freehold's expansion into the Duvernay formation in West-Central Alberta is a strategic move that could enhance its production capabilities and further capitalize on the region's resource potential. This expansion is likely to attract investor interest, particularly as the Duvernay is known for its high-quality oil and gas reserves. As global oil prices remain volatile, driven by OPEC's production decisions and geopolitical tensions, Freehold's strong operational results and strategic positioning could provide a buffer against market fluctuations. Investors should closely monitor how this expansion impacts future production levels and revenue streams, especially in a market where liquids are commanding premium prices. Overall, Freehold's performance and growth strategy could serve as a positive indicator for oil prices, particularly if the company successfully leverages its new assets in the Duvernay.

Market Commentary

Houthis Launch Another Attack on Pumping Stations Along Crucial Saudi East-West

Crude prices are likely to feel upward pressure following the recent missile attacks by the Houthis on key pumping stations along Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline. Although Saudi authorities have not confirmed the extent of the damage, the mere act of targeting critical infrastructure raises concerns about supply disruptions in an already volatile market. The East-West pipeline is vital for transporting oil from the eastern fields to the western ports, and any threat to its operation can lead to heightened risk premiums in oil pricing. Additionally, the Houthi claims of attacks on Aramco facilities, including the significant site in Abqaiq, further exacerbate geopolitical tensions in the region. Investors should closely monitor any official responses from Saudi Arabia, as a robust military or political reaction could escalate the situation and impact global oil supply. The ongoing conflict underscores the fragility of oil supply chains in the Middle East, which can be easily disrupted by regional hostilities. With the backdrop of rising global demand and potential inflationary pressures, any significant disruption could lead to a sharp increase in oil prices. Furthermore, the dollar's strength may also play a role in how these developments affect oil prices, as a stronger dollar typically dampens demand from non-dollar buyers. Overall, the situation warrants close attention, as the interplay of geopolitical risks and market fundamentals could lead to increased volatility in the energy markets.

Market Commentary

Bank of Canada signals more rate hikes may come despite uncertainty

Crude prices are likely to face downward pressure as the Bank of Canada signals potential interest rate hikes despite ongoing uncertainties in the market. Higher oil prices have been a concern for the central bank, suggesting that elevated energy costs could contribute to inflationary pressures, prompting further monetary tightening. This stance indicates that the Bank is willing to prioritize controlling inflation over economic growth, which could dampen demand for oil in the near term. Additionally, the trade war with the United States adds another layer of complexity, potentially impacting Canadian exports and overall economic stability. Investors should be cautious as rising interest rates typically strengthen the Canadian dollar, making oil priced in USD more expensive for Canadian buyers, which could further suppress demand. The interplay between monetary policy and energy prices will be critical to monitor, as any significant rate hikes could lead to reduced consumer spending and lower industrial activity, both of which would negatively affect oil consumption. Furthermore, the uncertainty surrounding trade relations may lead to volatility in oil markets, as geopolitical tensions can disrupt supply chains and affect pricing dynamics. Overall, the Bank of Canada's willingness to raise rates amidst these challenges suggests a cautious outlook for oil prices, as the market adjusts to potential shifts in demand and economic conditions. Investors should remain vigilant as these developments unfold, as they could significantly influence market sentiment and pricing trends in the energy sector.

Market Commentary

Turkey Wants COP31 to Focus on Electrification Instead of Fossil Fuel Cuts

Turkey's push for COP31 to prioritize electrification over fossil fuel reductions signals a significant shift in the global energy dialogue. By advocating for an increase in electricity's share of global energy consumption from 20% to 35% by 2035, Turkey is emphasizing a transition that does not necessarily entail cutting fossil fuel use. This approach could lead to a more gradual phase-out of oil, gas, and coal, potentially stabilizing demand for these traditional energy sources in the near term. As climate negotiators convene in Antalya, the lack of a requirement to reduce fossil fuel consumption may attract both support and criticism, reflecting the complexities of balancing energy needs with climate goals. Investors should be aware that this stance could influence energy policies and investment strategies, particularly in emerging markets where fossil fuels remain a dominant energy source. The focus on electrification may also drive demand for renewable energy technologies, impacting the broader energy market landscape. However, without a clear commitment to reduce fossil fuel reliance, oil prices may not experience the downward pressure that some analysts anticipate from aggressive climate policies. Instead, this could lead to a more stable pricing environment as countries navigate their energy transitions at varying paces. Overall, Turkey's proposal highlights the ongoing tension between energy security and climate commitments, which will be crucial for market participants to monitor in the coming months.

Market Commentary

U.S. Midterm Shake-Up Could Reshape Global Oil and Gas Markets

The recent U.S. midterm elections have introduced a significant political dynamic that could reshape global oil and gas markets. With the Democratic Party gaining control of Congress, the administration's domestic energy policy may face constraints, leading to potential legislative gridlock. However, this shift also grants President Trump considerable leeway in foreign policy decisions, which could impact international oil relations and trade agreements. Investors should be aware that this political landscape may lead to increased volatility in energy markets as the administration navigates its foreign policy priorities. The potential for heightened congressional influence over energy spending and appointments could also affect regulatory frameworks that govern oil production and environmental policies. As the U.S. continues to be a major player in global oil supply, any changes in policy could ripple through to prices, especially if they affect production levels or export capabilities. Additionally, geopolitical tensions may be exacerbated by this political shift, influencing OPEC's strategies and decisions regarding output levels. The interplay between domestic constraints and foreign policy flexibility could create uncertainty for investors, particularly in how it affects U.S. shale production and overall market stability. As the global energy landscape evolves, market participants will need to closely monitor these developments to gauge their impact on oil prices and investment strategies. The midterm results signal a period of adjustment that could lead to both challenges and opportunities within the energy sector.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

A ‘Geologic Freak’ in Arkansas Is Big Oil’s New Lithium Bet

The world is electrifying at an unprecedented pace, and it’s only going to keep speeding up. COP 31, the latest iteration of the United Nations’ annual climate conference, kicked off today in Antalya, Türkiye, and achieving 35 percent global electrification by 2035 is going to be one of the event’s most central agenda items. Until extremely recently, this target likely would have seemed overly ambitious, but experts say that a number of factors, including volatile oil and gas markets stemming from the war in Iran, paired…

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

API Shows Sharp Drop in US Crude Oil, Distillate Inventories

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 9.8 million barrels in the week ending November 6. In the week prior, US crude oil inventories fell by 5.267 million barrels. Commercial crude oil inventories excluding the SPR have lost more than 73 million barrels over the last 30 weeks, and 22 million over this year, according to API data, which has been kept in check in part thanks to draws from the SPR. For the week ending November 6, 2.7 million barrels of crude oil left the SPR to aid…

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

SandRidge Energy upgraded at Freedom Broker on production growth

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Summit Midstream raises 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $250M-$260M as it targets 200-250 2027 well connects

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Archrock to acquire HiVolt Energy in $450M deal, eyes earnings boost

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Enbridge vs. Occidental Petroleum: Does a Midstream or Upstream Energy Focus Make for a Better Stock Buy for 2027?

Enbridge's revenue surged 22% while Occidental's fell, yet one trades at a fraction of the other's valuation multiple, a gap that may not last.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Diamondback and KKR expand Permian water investment with Deep Blue acquisition

(Oil Gas 360) Diamondback Energy and investment firm KKR have agreed to acquire Five Point Infrastructure s 70% ownership interest [ ]

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Ur-Energy outlines $26M Lost Creek wastewater spend as MU5 production targets Q1 2027

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Devon Energy Q3 Earnings Call Highlights Permian Focus and Buybacks

DVN's Q3 2026 earnings call highlights Permian expansion, higher merger synergies, accelerated buybacks and a disciplined 2027 capital spending plan.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Venture Global boosts profit forecast as LNG growth supports AI power expansion

(Oil Gas 360) Venture Global raised its full-year 2026 earnings forecast Tuesday, November 10, after reporting stronger third-quarter results, [ ]

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

HighPeak outlines 2026 production of 44,500 to 45,500 BOE/d while advancing refinancing to cut debt to about $650M

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

3 Oil Stocks to Buy on the Dip After Crushing Q3 Expectations: CVI, DK, NOG

Here are three highly ranked oil stocks worth buying on the dip after crushing Q3 earnings expectations amid continued volatility in crude prices.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

4 Energy Stocks to Watch as QatarEnergy Eyes More U.S. LNG Deals

QatarEnergy's push to expand U.S. LNG supplies amid Middle East disruptions puts Woodside Energy, Cheniere Energy, Venture Global and NextDecade in focus.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Chevron Expands Namibia Ties With QatarEnergy Offshore Stake Deal

CVX is selling a 25% stake in Namibia's PEL82 offshore license to QatarEnergy, sharing exploration costs while retaining control and growth potential.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Is Crescent Energy's Royalty Business Its Next Big Growth Engine?

CRGY's capital-light royalties business offers cash flow without drilling costs, while the Devon deal could bring a major boost in scale and output.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

The Truth Behind Iraq’s Oil Rebound And The Secret Red Sea Plan

No country aside from Iran itself has felt the economic consequences of the U.S./Israel-Iran war more than Iraq. Over 90 percent of its annual budget historically comes from oil and around 95 percent of that historically had to pass through the Strait of Hormuz before it could be monetised. When Iran closed the strait on the first day of ‘Operation Epic Fury’, that vital oil transit route was shut to neighbouring Iraq, and its critical financial lifeline along with it. A temporary agreement was reached on 17 March between Tehran and…

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Ukrainian Strikes Disrupt 30% of Russia s Oil Refining Capacity

Ukrainian drone strikes have disrupted refineries representing roughly 30% of Russia s total oil-processing capacity since late October, dealing another blow to Moscow s fuel supplies just as it attempts to increase diesel exports under a controversial agreement with Washington. Nine of Russia s 35 major refineries experienced disruptions over the past week, Reuters reported Tuesday, citing industry sources and officials. The affected facilities have a combined nameplate capacity of approximately 2.2 million barrels per day, compared with Russia s…

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Tribunal Hearings Begin in UK-Argentina Row Over Falklands Oil Project

The Hamburg-based International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea on Tuesday begins hearings of Argentina’s complaint about the UK’s oil drilling project north of the Falkland Islands, which Argentinian President Javier Milei claims is unlawful amid a recently revived row with Britain over who controls the Falklands. The Sea Lion oil field is operated by Navitas Petroleum Development and Production Ltd (NPDP), a UK-based fully owned subsidiary of Israeli Navitas Petroleum, and its British partner Rockhopper Exploration. The…

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

China Is Buying Oil Again After Months of Living Off Its Stockpiles

China’s crude oil imports last month hit the highest since March, reaching 41.94 million tons, equal to around 9.88 million barrels daily. The October average was a 9.4% increase on the previous month as well, Reuters reported. Seaborne crude oil imports specifically went up by 12% in October from September, according to data from Kpler. Citing official customs data, the publication also reported that despite the monthly increase and the seven-month high, October’s total in oil imports was still 13.3% below the volume for October 2025.…

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Diamondback Energy and KKR to Acquire Deep Blue Midland Basin from Five Point Infrastructure

(NASDAQ:FANG) Diamondback Energy, Inc. and KKR (NYSE:KKR) have entered into an agreement to jointly acquire Five Point Infrastructure’s 70% stake in Deep Blue Midland Basin LLC (“Deep Blue”), a full-cycle water infrastructure platform in the Midland Basin. After the transaction, Diamondback and KKR will jointly own 100% of Deep Blue, with Diamondback building on its existing 30% ownership interest. Deep Blue was formed in 2023 as a joint venture between Diamondback and Five Point and operates an integrated water infrastructure network providing sourcing, transportation, storage, recycling, and disposal services. The Deep Blue system supports Diamondback’s core operations, which require the reliable transportation of nearly 2 million barrels of water per day. The transaction is expected to close in Q4 2026, subject to customary regulatory approvals and closing conditions. KKR’s investment in the transaction will be funded primarily through KKR Global Infrastructure Investors V. The partnership leverages Diamondback’s operational expertise and KKR’s experience in scaling energy sector businesses. Kaes Van’t Hof, Chief Executive Officer of Diamondback, stated that acquiring Five Point’s 70% interest secures critical water infrastructure capabilities for the long term and positions the partnership for growth, including potential expansion outside oil and gas through new technology and industrial use cases. James Cunningham, Partner at KKR, commented that Deep Blue is important for supporting energy production in the Permian Basin and that the investment is seen as a first step toward broader collaboration in essential infrastructure. The companies highlighted opportunities for further collaboration to meet the region’s evolving infrastructure needs. Diamondback is focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and exploitation of unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Beetaloo Energy secures RL11 licence for Carpentaria shale gas fairway

Beetaloo Energy Australia has secured Retention Licence 11 (RL11) from the Northern Territory Department of Mining and Energy for rights over the Carpentaria unconventional shale gas fairway in Australia’s Northern Territory.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Eco Atlantic Oil Gas Npv Di — Completion of Namibian Portfolio Farm-down to BP

(LSE:ECO) Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas has completed the Namibian portfolio farm-down, with ministerial deeds signed on 9 November 2026. Eco will receive a one-time cash consideration of US$2.7 million on 16 November 2026 as part of the transaction. BP has acquired a 60% participating interest and operatorship in PEL97, PEL99, and PEL100. Eco retains a 25% participating interest across the three licences. BP will carry 100% of Eco’s 25% participating interest, as well as Eco’s proportionate share of NAMCOR’s 10% and local partners’ 5%, during the First Renewal Period. This arrangement substantially reduces Eco’s funding exposure for the period. A greater than 3,000 km2 3D seismic programme is imminent on PEL99 and PEL100, with reprocessing planned for PEL97. Put Options are in place that permit the transfer of an additional 10% participating interest for a capped carry of US$21 million per well, with an aggregate cap of US$63 million. The transaction structure provides Eco with significant financial flexibility and risk mitigation. The farm-down covers three licences: PEL97, PEL99, and PEL100. The First Renewal Period is the phase during which BP will provide the carry for Eco and its partners. The cash consideration and carry terms are designed to support Eco’s ongoing exploration and appraisal activities. The agreement includes mechanisms for further interest transfer via Put Options. The seismic and reprocessing work is expected to advance the technical understanding of the licence areas. The deal with BP marks a significant milestone in Eco’s Namibian exploration strategy.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Sintana Energy Inc — PEL 82 Farm-Out

(LSE:SEI) Sintana Energy Inc. retains its unchanged indirect exposure to PEL 82 through its 49% interest in Custos, which itself holds a 10% participating interest in PEL 82. Chevron has agreed to sell a 25% interest in PEL 82 to QatarEnergy. Following this transaction, Chevron's stake in PEL 82 will decrease from 80% to 55%. NAMCOR's interest in PEL 82 remains at 10%. The Walvis Basin licence associated with PEL 82 covers an area of 11,450 km². Approximately 70% of the licence area has seismic coverage. Water depths in the licence area range from 350 to 2,300 meters. PEL 82 is currently in its exploration period. There are no reserves or resources attributed to PEL 82 at this time. Completion of the transaction is subject to regulatory approvals. The consideration for the transaction was not disclosed. Chevron will remain the operator of PEL 82 after the transaction. The company states that QatarEnergy’s entry into the licence materially endorses the prospectivity of PEL 82.

Company NewsNovember 10, 2026

Dcc Energy Plc — Results for the six months ended 30 September 2026

(LSE:DCC) DCC Energy reported adjusted continuing operating profit of £175.2m for the six months ended 30 September 2026, representing an increase of 1.1% year-on-year. Adjusted continuing earnings per share (EPS) rose by 25.6% to 120.5p. Revenue for the period was £7.29bn, up 20.2% compared to the prior year. The attributable loss widened to £269.2m, primarily due to a net exceptional charge of £371.1m, which included a £348.3m impairment related to Nexora. Free cash flow for the period was £96.1m. The rolling 12-month free cash flow conversion improved to 119%, up from 95% previously. Net debt excluding lease creditors increased to £828.0m, while net debt including lease creditors stood at £1,213.7m. Management committed £214m to acquisitions during the period, including the acquisition of Shell Mobility France. Shareholders approved a recommended acquisition of DCC Energy by a consortium led by Energy Capital Partners and KKR. No interim dividend will be paid for the period. The company highlighted the impact of exceptional charges on its results. The acquisition of Shell Mobility France was a significant transaction within the period. The increase in free cash flow conversion was noted as a positive operational development. The approval of the acquisition by the consortium marks a major corporate event for DCC Energy. The absence of an interim dividend was also disclosed as part of the financial update.

Company NewsNovember 9, 2026

Journey Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Results; Expands 2026 Capital Program

(TSX:JOY) Journey Energy Inc. (OTCQX:JRNGF) announced its financial and operating results for the three and nine month periods ending September 30, 2026. The company generated sales volumes of 9,559 boe/d in the third quarter, with a product mix of 56% crude oil, 12% NGLs, and 32% natural gas. Net income for the quarter was $16.8 million, or $0.25 per basic share and $0.24 per diluted share. Adjusted Funds Flow reached $24.3 million, or $0.36 per basic share and $0.35 per diluted share. Journey closed the disposition of 1,170 boe/d of production in Northwest Alberta for proceeds of $28.0 million before closing adjustments. The company acquired a 0.98% working interest in the Keyera Rimbey gas processing facility and commissioned the 14 MW Gilby power project. Net debt was reduced to $48.4 million, 4% lower than at the beginning of 2026. Subsequent to quarter-end, Journey brought on 5.0 gross (1.5 net) Duvernay wells from the 01-19-43-3W5 pad through a new 30 MMscf/d compression facility (30% working interest), finished drilling a 4 well (1.2 net) pad at 02-22-42-4W5, and began drilling 5.0 gross (1.5 net) wells on the 10-19-41-3W5 pad. For the third quarter, sales revenue was $57,653,000, net income was $16,833,000, and adjusted funds flow was $24,329,000. Net capital expenditures for the quarter were $12,929,000, and net debt at quarter-end was $48,393,000. Average realized crude oil price was $103.87/bbl, natural gas $1.30/mcf, and NGLs $43.82/bbl. Operating netback was $35.47/boe. In aggregate since 2024, Journey has disposed of approximately 2,950 boe/d of non-essential assets, reducing asset retirement obligations by approximately $87 million. Capital expenditures before dispositions in Q2 2026 were $32.9 million, including $9.2 million for Duvernay facility development, $3.3 million for power, and $3.7 million for land. Net acquisition and divestment proceeds for Q3 were $20 million. Power expenditures included $3.3 million for commissioning at Gilby and engine overhauls at Mazeppa. Facility capital in Cherhill and Skiff was increased by approximately $3 million for pipeline integrity projects. In October, Journey added production from 4 gross (1.2 net) Duvernay wells, and in November from 1 gross (0.3 net) Duvernay well. October production was 9,965 boe/d (69% liquids). To date in 2026, 12 gross (3.0 net) Duvernay wells have been brought on, with another 4 gross (1.2 net) forecasted for year-end. Additional infrastructure and completion costs for the 02-22-42-4 pad and DUCs at 10-19-42-3W5 will result in an additional $15 million of capital net to Journey for 2026. Journey's net share of 2026 long-term Duvernay facility investments is estimated at $23 million. The original two 2024 Duvernay wells achieved payout in approximately thirteen months at average WTI prices of $64 USD/bbl. A $3.8 million realized hedging loss and a $7.0 million mark-to-market hedging loss were recorded in Q3 2026. Oil revenues represented 88% of total revenues in Q3 2026. The working interest in Keyera Rimbey is expected to generate approximately $0.7 million per year in third party processing revenue. Journey exited Q3 2026 with net debt of $48.4 million, down from $55.4 million at Q3 2025 and $50.6 million at the beginning of 2026. Adjusted Funds Flow per share was $0.36 basic and $0.35 diluted, up from $0.30 in Q3 2025. Net capital expenditures for Q3 2026 included $25.8 million for drilling, completion, equipping and tie-in, $3.3 million for power projects, and $8 million for the Keyera Rimbey acquisition.